FNAK71 PAFC 191648
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Little Granite Creek RX...SOA DFFP
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
848 AM AKDT Tue May 19 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 AKDT on May 19. 
.DISCUSSION...
A front moving through the region this morning will bring a chance of
light rain to the burn site before some partial clearing in the afternoon.
Winds are expected to turn back to a westerly direction this afternoon
after frontal passage. There is a chance for light rain late tonight
into Wednesday afternoon in conjunction with another upper level
wave passing through the area. 

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) becoming partly cloudy
					(50 to 60 percent) in the afternoon. Chance of rain in
					the morning, then scattered rain showers in the afternoon. 
CWR.................12 percent decreasing to 0 percent late in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
Tstm Coverage.......None. 
Max temperature.....Around 54. 
Min humidity........33 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 3 to 5 mph in the morning becoming West
					to southwest 6 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 15 mph
					in the afternoon. 
Ventilation Rate....Poor (643-5428 m^2/s). 
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches. 
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches. 

TIME (AKDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........83  86  86  86  80  80  80  67  67  
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT 
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  50  50  40  40  40  30  30  
Temp............43  45  47  48  50  50  51  52  51  
RH..............60  52  43  39  34  34  33  34  34  
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   SE   S  SW  SW  SW   W   W  
20 FT wind spd..9   5   5   5   3   3   3   7   7   
20 FT wind gust.15  13  13  13  9   9   9           
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.6 
Transp wind dir.E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
Transp wind spd.9   12  12  12  15  15  15  14  14  
Vent (m^2/s)....643 54285428542854285428542840004000

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-75 percent). Isolated rain 
                    showers in the evening, then slight chance of 
                    rain overnight. 
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 10 percent after 3 am. 
Chance of pcpn......20 percent. 
Tstm Coverage.......None. 
Min temperature.....Around 37. 
Max humidity........69 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph early in the evening 
                    becoming light, then becoming northeast around 
                    6 mph after 3 am. 
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 14 mph decreasing to around 3 
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the 
                    northeast 6 mph overnight. 
Ventilation Rate....Poor (78-4000 m^2/s). 
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches. 

TIME (AKDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........67  49  49  49  70  70  70  46  46  46  82  82  
Weather cov.....SCT ISO ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH ISO ISO ISO SCH SCH 
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RN  RN  
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  
Temp............50  49  47  46  44  43  41  40  39  39  38  38  
RH..............36  38  41  45  52  56  59  62  63  64  65  68  
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   E   E   E   NE  NE  
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   3   3   3   2   2   2   6   6   
20 FT wind gust.    12  12  12  7   7   7   5   5   5           
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  NE  NE  NE  E   E   
Transp wind spd.14  10  10  10  3   3   3   5   5   5   7   7   
Vent (m^2/s)....400040004000400078  78  78  78  78  78  737 737 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of rain. 
CWR.................18 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 
Tstm Coverage.......None. 
Max temperature.....Around 51. 
Min humidity........39 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 4 to 6 mph in the morning becoming
					west 6 to 9 mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....East 6 to 10 mph shifting to the west around 10 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Ventilation Rate....Poor (737-2416 m^2/s). 
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches. 
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches. 

TIME (AKDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........82  89  89  89  91  91  91  92  92  92  94  94  
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  
Chc of pcpn (%).20  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  
Temp............38  38  40  43  45  46  48  49  50  50  50  49  
RH..............69  68  63  57  50  44  41  39  39  41  43  46  
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SW  SW  
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   
20 FT wind gust.                                        12  12  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  W   W   
Transp wind spd.7   10  10  10  10  10  10  6   6   6   9   9   
Vent (m^2/s)....737 737 737 737 24002400240024002400240024162416

$$
Forecaster...Zingone
Requested by...Jered Kemp
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613745.3/AER
.DELDT 05/19/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jered.kemp@alaska.gov