FPBA31 MYNN 231532 231532 MYNNYM BAHAMAS PUBLIC FORECAST BAHAMAS PUBLIC FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON, TONIGHT AND THE NEXT SIX (6) DAYS, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AT 12:00 P.M. EDT, SUNDAY, AUGUST 23, 2026. THE NEXT SCHEDULED FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 6:00 P.M. EDT. WARNING IN EFFECT: A Heat Advisory remains in effect for the entire Bahamas as well as the Turks and Caicos Islands. Residents and visitors across all areas, especially in the Northern and Northwest Bahamas, should continue to remain hydrated, seek shaded areas and restrict strenuous outdoor activity between peak hours (between 11 am – 4pm). GENERAL SITUATION: Generally stable and hot weather conditions will prevail across the majority of the island chain today, due to a ridge of high pressure and a thin plume of Saharan dust. Meanwhile, lingering moisture and troughing near the Northern Bahamas will continue to trigger isolated showers and thunderstorms across those areas through this afternoon, with activity expected to wane later this evening as high pressure builds. Winds remain gentle to moderate across most of the country with occasional fresh gusts across the Southeast Bahamas. Outlook: The northern extent of a tropical wave is expected to introduce shower and thunderstorm activity over portions of the Southeast Bahamas beginning early Monday as the wake treks westward. High pressure will remain the dominant feature at the surface across most of the country, maintaining hot and humid conditions. However, upper-level troughing and increasing moisture will support periods of showers and thunderstorms across various parts of the island chain. Two tropical waves are expected to enter the forecast area early this week, bringing an increase in cloudiness, showers and thunderstorms through Thursday. SPECIAL WEATHER NOTES: Severe Thunderstorm Risk: There is a slight to moderate risk for a few isolated strong to severe thunderstorms expected across portions of the Northern Bahamas this afternoon. These storms are capable of producing strong gusty winds, frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and waterspout activity. Therefore, the public is urged to remain updated on all severe weather warnings issued by the Bahamas Department of Meteorology. Rip Currents: There is a slight to moderate risk of rip currents affecting the eastern and southern shorelines of the Southeast Bahamas. Beachgoers and swimmers are advised to exercise caution when entering the water. UV Index: Members of the public are advised to wear protective clothing and sunscreen and seek shaded areas while outside during peak sunshine hours (11am – 4pm), as UV indices are expected to be in the high to extreme range. Saharan Dust: The level of dust may reach moderate levels which could impact air quality and hinder visibility at times across the Northwest Bahamas. Residents, especially those with respiratory illnesses, should take precautions to safeguard their health. NORTHERN BAHAMAS (INCLUDING GRAND BAHAMA, ABACO, BIMINI & ADJACENT WATERS): SKY CONDITIONS: Partly cloudy with occasional cloudy periods this afternoon, becoming variably cloudy tonight. PRECIPITATION: 30 - 40% chance of isolated showers or thunderstorms this afternoon through this afternoon, decreasing to a 10 – 20% chance of isolated showers by late evening. WINDS: South to southwest at 10 knots or less tonight, shifting southeast to south tonight. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 90ºF – 95ºF / 32ºC – 35ºC 79ºF – 82ºF / 26ºC – 28ºC 106ºF – 114ºF / 41ºC – 46ºC NORTHWEST BAHAMAS (INCLUDING NEW PROVIDENCE, ANDROS, THE BERRY ISLANDS, ELEUTHERA & ADJACENT WATERS): SKY CONDITIONS: Partly sunny and slightly hazy, becoming fair tonight. PRECIPITATION: 10 - 30% chance of isolated showers with a slight chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm or two. WINDS: Southeasterly at 10 to 15 knots this afternoon, shifting east to southeast by tonight. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 90ºF – 95ºF / 32ºC – 35ºC 79ºF – 82ºF / 26ºC – 28ºC 104ºF – 110ºF / 40ºC – 43ºC CENTRAL BAHAMAS (INCLUDING EXUMA, CAT ISLAND, LONG ISLAND, SAN SALVADOR, RUM CAY & ADJACENT WATERS): SKY CONDITIONS: Partly sunny and slightly hazy, fair tonight. PRECIPITATION: 10 to 20% chance of spotty afternoon showers. WINDS: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 90ºF – 93ºF / 32ºC – 34ºC 75ºF – 81ºF / 24ºC – 27ºC 102ºF – 106ºF / 39ºC – 41ºC SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS (INCLUDING INAGUA, ACKLINS, CROOKED ISLAND, MAYAGUANA, RAGGED ISLAND & ADJACENT WATERS): SKY CONDITIONS: Partly to mostly sunny and slightly hazy, becoming partly cloudy tonight. PRECIPITATION: 10 to 20% chance of a stray afternoon shower with a slight chance of a rogue thunderstorm over portions of the extreme Southeastern Islands. 20 – 40% chance of isolated showers or thunderstorms late tonight through the early morning hours. WINDS: Easterly at 15 to 20 knots, shifting northeast to east by tonight. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 90ºF – 93ºF / 32ºC – 34ºC 75ºF – 81ºF / 24ºC – 27ºC 102ºF – 106ºF / 39ºC – 41ºC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: There are currently three (3) areas of interest being monitored at this time: 1) Northeastern Atlantic: A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the coast of Portugal is producing limited shower activity. This system has only a slight chance of acquiring subtropical characteristics later today while it moves eastward to east-northeastward at 10 to 15 mph toward Portugal and northwestern Spain. It has a low (10%) chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours and continuing through the next seven days. 2) Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity and has a low (30%) chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next seven days. 3) Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form in association with the wave early this week. This system will have a medium (50%) chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next seven days. EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR MONDAY 24TH AUGUST 2026: SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: A mix of sun and clouds PRECIPITATION: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: 20 to 30% chance of showers with thunderstorms. Central and Southeast Bahamas: 10 to 20% chance of showers. WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Light and variable at less than 10 knots Central and Southeast Bahamas: East at 15 to 20 knots. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 90ºF – 95ºF / 32ºC – 35ºC 75ºF – 82ºF / 24ºC – 28ºC 102ºF – 110ºF / 39ºC – 43ºC EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR TUESDAY 25TH AUGUST 2026: SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy PRECIPITATION: All areas: 20 to 30% chance of showers with thunderstorms. WINDS: Northern Bahamas: East to southeast at 10 knots or less, falling light and variable at times. Northwest Bahamas: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots. Central and Southeast Bahamas: East at 15 to 20 knots. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 90ºF – 93ºF / 32ºC – 34ºC 77ºF – 82ºF / 25ºC – 28ºC 102ºF – 108ºF / 39ºC – 42ºC EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR WEDNESDAY 26TH AUGUST 2026: SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy. PRECIPITATION: All areas: 20 to 30% chance of showers with possible thunderstorms. . WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East at 10 to 15 knots Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 15 knots. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 88ºF – 93ºF / 31ºC – 34ºC 77ºF – 82ºF / 25ºC – 28ºC 100ºF – 106ºF / 38ºC – 41ºC EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR THURSDAY 27TH AUGUST 2026: SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy to cloudy. PRECIPITATION: All areas: 30 to 50% chance of showers with thunderstorms. WINDS: Northern Bahamas: East to southeast at 10 knots or less. Northwest Bahamas: East at 10 to 15 knots. Central and Southeast Bahamas: East at 15 to 20 knots. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 84ºF – 90ºF / 29ºC – 32ºC 77ºF – 82ºF / 25ºC – 28ºC 96ºF – 102ºF / 36ºC – 39ºC EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR FRIDAY 28TH AUGUST 2026: SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: A mix of sun and clouds. PRECIPITATION: All areas: 30 % chance of showers with thunderstorms. WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East at 10 to 15 knots Central and Southeast Bahamas: East at 15 knots with higher gusts. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 84ºF – 90ºF / 29ºC – 32ºC 77ºF – 82ºF / 25ºC – 28ºC 96ºF – 102ºF / 36ºC – 39ºC EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR SATURDAY 29TH AUGUST 2026:: SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy to cloudy. PRECIPITATION: All areas: 30 to 50% chance of showers with thunderstorms. WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots. Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 15 to 20 knots. TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX: 84ºF – 90ºF / 29ºC – 32ºC 77ºF – 82ºF / 25ºC – 28ºC N/A SUNSET: SUNRISE: MOONRISE: MOONSET: 07:35 PM 06:48 AM MON 04:49 PM 03:22 AM MON THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY Email: forecast.office@gmail.com or meteo@batelnet.bs FORECASTER: S.W. HUNTER II (Please view our products on our Bahamas Meteorology Facebook Page or our website, met.gov.bs.)=