FPBA31 MYNN 191524

191524 MYNNYM

BAHAMAS PUBLIC FORECAST

BAHAMAS PUBLIC FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND THE NEXT
SIX (6) DAYS, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AT
12:00 P.M. EDT, TUESDAY, MAY 19, 2026. THE NEXT SCHEDULED FORECAST
WILL BE ISSUED AT 6:00 P.M. EDT.

WARNING IN EFFECT: There are no public warnings in effect at this
time.

GENERAL SITUATION: A broad mid to upper level low situated just
northeast of the island chain will continue to draw moisture across
the Central & portions of the Southeast Bahamas, maintaining an
elevated chance of showers and a few isolated thunderstorms this
afternoon through tonight. Meanwhile, a drier mass over the Northern
Bahamas will support sunnier skies with lower rain chances. Moderate
to fresh easterly breezes will prevail across the Bahamas supported
by a ridge of high pressure.

Outlook: The upper-level disturbance will meander in the vicinity of
the Bahamas, with its center drifting across the Northern and
Northwest Bahamas by midweek before being nudged one again over
Atlantic waters on Friday. High pressure will gradually build into
the area by the weekend, with occasional streaming showers in the
easterly wind regime continuing through to next week.

SPECIAL WEATHER NOTES: Flooding Risk: There is a slight risk of
flooding in low-lying and flood-prone areas during heavy or prolonged
rainfall periods, particularly across portions of the Central
Bahamas.
Rip Currents: There is a moderate to high risk of rip currents on all
east-coast and Atlantic coastal waters of the island chain. Swimmers
are advised to exercise caution when entering these waters.
Heat and UV Index: Residents across the Northern Bahamas and portions
of the Northwest Bahamas are advised to remain hydrated, wear
protective clothing and sunscreen and seek shaded areas while outside
during peak sunshine hours today (11am – 4pm), as UV indices are
expected to be in the very high range and heat indices can reach the
upper 90’s.

NORTHERN BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING GRAND BAHAMA, ABACO, BIMINI & ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: Partly sunny this afternoon, turning mostly fair
tonight.
PRECIPITATION: 10 – 20% chance of showers with a few isolated
thunderstorms possible.
WINDS: Easterly at 15 knots with higher gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
84ºF – 90ºF / 29ºC – 32ºC 73ºF – 77ºF / 23ºC – 25ºC
93ºF – 97ºF / 34ºC – 36ºC

NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING NEW PROVIDENCE, ANDROS, THE BERRY ISLANDS, ELEUTHERA &
ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: A mix of sun and clouds, turning partly cloudy
tonight.
PRECIPITATION: 20 – 30% chance of a few isolated, fast-moving
showers with possible afternoon thunderstorms.
WINDS: Easterly at 10 - 15 knots with higher gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
82ºF – 88ºF / 28ºC – 31ºC 73ºF – 77ºF / 23ºC – 25ºC
93ºF – 97ºF / 34ºC – 36ºC

CENTRAL BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING EXUMA, CAT ISLAND, LONG ISLAND, SAN SALVADOR, RUM CAY &
ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: Partly cloudy to cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: 40 – 60% chance of widely scattered showers with
isolated thunderstorms.
WINDS: East to southeast at 15 knots with higher gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
79ºF – 88ºF / 26ºC – 30ºC 75ºF – 79ºF / 24ºC – 26ºC
N/A

SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING INAGUA, ACKLINS, CROOKED ISLAND, MAYAGUANA, RAGGED ISLAND
& ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: A mix of sun and clouds this afternoon, becoming
partly cloudy to cloudy tonight.
PRECIPITATION: 30 – 40% chance of isolated showers and
thunderstorms.
WINDS: East to southeast at 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
79ºF – 88ºF / 26ºC – 30ºC 75ºF – 79ºF / 24ºC – 26ºC
N/A

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: At this time, the tropics remain quiet and
tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next seven (7)
days.

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR WEDNESDAY 20TH MAY, 2026.
SKY CONDITIONS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: A mix of sun and
clouds, turning mostly fair at night.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Cloudy to occasionally overcast.
PRECIPITATION: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: 10 – 30% chance of a
few isolated showers with a slight chance of an afternoon
thunderstorm or two.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: 40 – 60% chance of showers with
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots
during the day, increasing 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts.
Central Bahamas: Easterly at 15 to 20 knots.
Southeast Bahamas: East to southeast at 15 to 20 knots, increasing 15
to 25 knots by nightfall.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
77ºF – 90ºF / 25ºC – 32ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
93ºF – 97ºF / 34ºC – 36ºC

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR THURSDAY 21ST MAY, 2026.
SKY CONDITIONS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: A mix of sun and
clouds, turning partly cloudy at night.
Central Bahamas: Partly cloudy to cloudy.
Southeast Bahamas: Cloudy to occasionally overcast.
PRECIPITATION: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: 20 – 30% chance of
showers with possible thunderstorms.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: 30 – 50% chance of showers with
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East to southeast at 10 to 15
knots with higher gusts.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 15 to 25 knots, decreasing
15 to 20 knots heading into the afternoon hours.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
77ºF – 88ºF / 25ºC – 31ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
N/A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR FRIDAY 22ND MAY, 2026.
SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy to cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: All areas: 20 – 40% chance of showers with possible
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East to southeast at 15 knots.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: East to southeast at 15 to 20 knots.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
77ºF – 84ºF / 25ºC – 29ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
N/A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR SATURDAY 23RD MAY, 2026.
SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy to cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: All areas: 20 – 30% chance of showers.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East to southeast at 10 to 15
knots with higher gusts.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 15 to 20 knots with higher
gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
79ºF – 84ºF / 26ºC – 29ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
N/A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR SUNDAY 24TH MAY, 2026.
SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy to cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: All areas: 20 – 30% chance of showers.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East to southeast at 10 to 15
knots, increasing 15 knots with higher gusts by nightfall.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 15 to 20 knots with higher
gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
79ºF – 84ºF / 26ºC – 29ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
N/A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR MONDAY 25TH MAY, 2026.
SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly cloudy, turning mostly fair at
night.
PRECIPITATION: All areas: 10 – 30% chance of showers.
WINDS: All areas: Easterly at 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
81ºF – 88ºF / 27ºC – 31ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
N/A

SUNSET: SUNRISE: MOONRISE: MOONSET:
7:47 PM 6:23 AM WED 10:06 AM WED 11:22 PM

THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
Email: forecast.office@gmail.com or meteo@batelnet.bs
mailto:meteo@batelnet.bs

FORECASTERS: S.W. HUNTER II

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