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BAHAMAS PUBLIC FORECAST

FORECASTS FOR THE BAHAMAS, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF
METEOROLOGY AT 6:00 A.M. EDT, Thursday, October 15, 2026, FOR TODAY,
TONIGHT AND THE NEXT SIX (6) DAYS. THE NEXT SCHEDULED FORECAST WILL
BE ISSUED AT 12:00 P.M. EDT.

WARNING IN EFFECT: There are no public warnings in effect at this
time.

GENERAL SITUATION: Residual tropical moisture across the region will
continue to generate a few showers, mainly across the northern half
of the country today. Meanwhile, weak high-pressure ridging will
support slightly more settled conditions elsewhere, as relatively
warm temperatures and gentle to moderate easterly breezes persist
across the islands.

Outlook: By early Friday, deep-layered ridging is expected to briefly
build across the island chain before a frontal boundary approaches
the Northern Bahamas by Saturday. Pre-frontal troughing will bring a
renewed increase in shower and thunderstorm activity, initially
across the Northern Bahamas, before spreading into the Northwest
Bahamas by late Saturday and into Sunday. The boundary is forecast to
stall across the Northwest and Central Bahamas by Sunday and into the
start of the workweek, maintaining unsettled conditions across the
island chain during this period. Strong high pressure building to the
north will also result in a significant strengthening of winds across
the island chain from Sunday through the end of next week.

SPECIAL WEATHER NOTES: Rip Currents: There is a slight risk along
Atlantic waters across of the Bahamas. Swimmers are advised to
exercise caution, especially in the Southeast Bahamas.

NORTHERN BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING GRAND BAHAMA, ABACO, BIMINI & ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: Mix of sun and clouds today, becoming partly cloudy
tonight.
PRECIPITATION: 30 – 40% chance of isolated showers or
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
88ºF – 91ºF / 31ºC – 33ºC 75ºF – 81ºF / 24ºC – 27ºC
100ºF – 104ºF / 38ºC – 40ºC

NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING NEW PROVIDENCE, ANDROS, THE BERRY ISLANDS, ELEUTHERA &
ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: Partly sunny today, becoming mainly fair tonight.
PRECIPITATION: 20 – 30% chance of showers with possible
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
88ºF – 91ºF / 31ºC – 33ºC 75ºF – 81ºF / 24ºC – 27ºC
100ºF – 104ºF / 38ºC – 40ºC

CENTRAL BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING EXUMA, CAT ISLAND, LONG ISLAND, SAN SALVADOR, RUM CAY &
ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: Mix of sun and clouds today, becoming mainly fair
tonight.
PRECIPITATION: 10 – 30% chance of showers with thunderstorms.
WINDS: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots today, shifting northeast to east
by tonight.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
88ºF – 91ºF / 31ºC – 33ºC 75ºF – 81ºF / 24ºC – 27ºC
100ºF – 104ºF / 38ºC – 40ºC

SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS
(INCLUDING INAGUA, ACKLINS, CROOKED ISLAND, MAYAGUANA, RAGGED ISLAND
& ADJACENT WATERS):
SKY CONDITIONS: Partly sunny today, becoming mainly fair tonight.
PRECIPITATION: 10 – 20% chance of isolated showers or
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Easterly at 15 knots, shifting northeast to east by tonight.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
88ºF – 91ºF / 31ºC – 33ºC 75ºF – 81ºF / 24ºC – 27ºC
100ºF – 104ºF / 38ºC – 40ºC

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: Tropical cyclone activity is not expected
during the next seven days.

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR FRIDAY 16TH OCTOBER, 2026:
SKY CONDITIONS: All areas: Partly sunny during the morning hours,
becoming a mix of sun and clouds during the afternoon hours.
PRECIPITATION: All areas: 20 to 30% chance of isolated showers with
thunderstorms, mainly across the Northern & Northwest Bahamas.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East to southeast at 10 to 15
knots, falling light and variable at times mainly across the Northern
Bahamas by the afternoon hours.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots, with
higher gusts across the Southeast Bahamas.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
86ºF – 90ºF / 29ºC – 32ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
96ºF – 102ºF / 36ºC – 39ºC

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR SATURDAY 17TH OCTOBER, 2026:
SKY CONDITIONS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Partly cloudy during
morning hours with increasing cloudiness by afternoon through evening
hours.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Variably cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: 30 to 50% chance of
showers with thunderstorms.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: 20 to 30% chance of showers with
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern Bahamas: Variable at 10 knots or less during early
morning hours. Becoming Northeast to east at 15 to 20 knots by late
afternoon through the evening hours , gusting strong to possibly near
gale force by nightfall through overnight hours.
Northwest Bahamas: Easterly at 10 knots or less during the morning
hours, becoming northeast to east at 10 to 15 knots by the afternoon
increasing to 15 to 20 knots by the evening hours.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 10 to 15 knots, with
higher gusts. Increasing to 15 to 20 knots by the evening.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
84ºF – 88ºF / 29ºC – 31ºC 75ºF – 79ºF / 24ºC – 26ºC
N/A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR SUNDAY 18TH OCTOBER, 2026:
SKY CONDITIONS: Southeast Bahamas: A mix of sun and clouds
Elsewhere: Partly cloudy to cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: Northern & Northwest Bahamas: 50 - 70% chance of
scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some showers and thunderstorms
may become strong to severe at times.
Central Bahamas: 30 to 50% chance of showers with thunderstorms.
Southeast Bahamas: 20 to 30% chance of showers with thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Northeast to east at 20 to 25
knots, with higher gusts to near gale possible.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Easterly at 15 to 20 knots
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
79ºF – 86ºF / 26ºC – 30ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
N/A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR MONDAY 19TH OCTOBER, 2026:
SKY CONDITIONS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Partly cloudy to
cloudy
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Variably cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: 30 to 50% chance of
showers with thunderstorms.
Elsewhere: 20 to 30% chance of showers with thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: East to southeast at 20 to 25
knots
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Northeast to east 15 to 20 knots
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
79ºF – 86ºF / 26ºC – 30ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC
N/A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR TUESDAY 20TH OCTOBER, 2026:
SKY CONDITIONS: Northern Bahamas: Partly cloudy during the morning
hours with decreasing cloudiness throughout the day.
Elsewhere: Partly to variably cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: All Areas: 30 to 40% chance of isolated showers or
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Northeast to east at 15 to
20knots.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Northeast to east at 15 knots with
higher gusts.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
84ºF – 90ºF / 29ºC – 32ºC 73ºF – 79ºF / 23ºC – 26ºC N
/ A

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR WEDNESDAY 21st OCTOBER, 2026:
SKY CONDITIONS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Partly sunny to
sunny.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: Partly cloudy to cloudy.
PRECIPITATION: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: 10% chance of showers.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: 20 – 40% chance of showers with
thunderstorms.
WINDS: Northern and Northwest Bahamas: Easterly at 15 to 25 knots.
Central and Southeast Bahamas: East-northeast to east-southeast at 10
knots or less.
TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM: MINIMUM: HEAT INDEX:
82ºF – 88ºF / 28ºC – 31ºC 72ºF – 79ºF / 22ºC – 26ºC N
/ A

SUNRISE: SUNSET: MOONSET: MOONRISE:
7:08 AM 6:41 PM 10:09 PM 11:43 AM

THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
Email: bahamas.forecast.office@gmail.com or meteo@batelnet.bs
mailto:meteo@batelnet.bs

FORECASTER: S.W. HUNTER II

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