FNUS22 KWNS 221954
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0253 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...Southern Plains...
A subtle embedded mid-level short wave will enter the Southern
Plains on D2/Sunday, aiding in isolated shower and thunderstorm
development by Sunday afternoon. A dry boundary layer with large
surface dew point depressions as temperatures climb into the lower
100s F will promote evaporation of high-based thunderstorm rain
cores over the northern TX Panhandle, OK Panhandle and far western
OK. Isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been introduced into
the aforementioned area as fuels remain extremely dry and receptive.
Additionally, a slight westward expansion of existing elevated
highlights across the Southern High Plains was made based on latest
forecast guidance and dry fuel conditions.

...Northern Rockies into Central Montana...
Model guidance trends has depicted a faster progressing mid-level
trough through the Northwestern U.S. through Sunday. With this
accelerated trough advancement, forcing for ascent has been shifted
primarily into far northeastern WA and the ID Panhandle for Sunday
as the mid-level jet enters the Northern Rockies. A slight pullback
for isolated dry thunderstorm highlights was made across
north-central WA. A broader dry thunderstorm threat remains over
central MT Sunday, followed by dry and breezy conditions and
elevated fire weather concerns later in the day as drier westerly
flow filters into the region.

..Williams.. 08/22/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0201 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026/

...Synopsis...
A midlevel trough will continue eastward across the Northwest and
northern Rockies during the day -- where ample midlevel moisture
will remain in place atop a diurnally deepening boundary layer.
Related forcing for ascent preceding the trough will promote
isolated to widely scattered fast-moving thunderstorms across parts
of the northern Rockies and Northwest during the afternoon and early
evening. Given 0.7-0.9 inch PW, a dry/well-mixed boundary layer, and
fast storm motions, a mix of wet/dry thunderstorms will pose a risk
of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty/erratic outflow winds atop
receptive fuels. Additionally, enhanced deep-layer
west-southwesterly flow accompanying the midlevel trough will
overspread the warm/dry air mass in place across the northern
Rockies, yielding dry/breezy (elevated) fire-weather conditions
during the afternoon. 

Farther south, dry/breezy southerly return flow will develop across
parts of the southern High Plains -- in response to a passing
low-amplitude midlevel trough. These dry/breezy conditions atop
increasingly receptive fuels will favor elevated fire-weather
conditions during the afternoon.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$