ACUS11 KWNS 240228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240227 
AZZ000-240400-

Mesoscale Discussion 2110
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0927 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Areas affected...Parts of south-central Arizona

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 240227Z - 240400Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A localized risk of severe wind gusts will persist for the
next couple hours.

DISCUSSION...A loosely organized cluster of thunderstorms is
tracking northwestward across parts of south-central AZ -- southeast
of the Phoenix metro. Meanwhile, an outflow boundary is moving
southward toward this cluster. The ongoing cluster of storms and
potential outflow collision will promote a locally favorable
corridor for severe wind gusts -- given temperatures in the 100-105F
range and very steep low-level lapse rates.

..Weinman/Thompson.. 08/24/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...PSR...

LAT...LON   32311123 32281182 32341218 32841243 33111252 33441235
            33531172 33351103 32851075 32471089 32311123 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH