FGUS54 KTUA 151335 RVFLZK RIVER FORECAST NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK 835 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2026 THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES. : FORECAST GROUP IS Kerr -- Pine Bluff : : FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS. : :******************************************************************* :DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 5.8 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 15 : .ER DARA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 5.6 / 5.4 / 5.5 .E2 : 1016 : / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 .E3 : 1017 : / 5.5 / 5.6 / 5.7 / 5.6 .E4 : 1018 : / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.4 .E5 : 1019 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 .E6 : 1020 : / 5.4 .ER DARA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.05 .E2 : 1016 : / 0.06 .AR DARA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.12 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER DARA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 9.27 / 10.17 / 11.70 .E2 : 1016 : / 11.88 / 10.73 / 10.03 / 10.76 .E3 : 1017 : / 12.27 / 13.50 / 13.78 / 13.26 .E4 : 1018 : / 12.42 / 11.64 / 10.98 / 10.35 .E5 : 1019 : / 9.72 / 9.12 / 8.64 / 8.32 .E6 : 1020 : / 8.12 : : :******************************************************************* :DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER :ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.8 FT AT 745 AM CDT ON OCT 15 : .ER DANA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 .E2 : 1016 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 .E3 : 1017 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.7 .E4 : 1018 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 .E5 : 1019 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.8 .E6 : 1020 : / 9.7 .ER DANA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.05 .E2 : 1016 : / 0.04 .AR DANA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.10 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* :MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.5 FT AT 715 AM CDT ON OCT 15 : .ER MORA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 .E2 : 1016 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 .E3 : 1017 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 .E4 : 1018 : / 9.6 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 .E5 : 1019 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 .E6 : 1020 : / 9.5 .ER MORA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.02 .E2 : 1016 : / 0.01 .AR MORA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.04 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER MORA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 9.34 / 10.21 / 11.73 .E2 : 1016 : / 11.93 / 10.80 / 10.09 / 10.80 .E3 : 1017 : / 12.29 / 13.52 / 13.83 / 13.33 .E4 : 1018 : / 12.50 / 11.72 / 11.05 / 10.43 .E5 : 1019 : / 9.79 / 9.19 / 8.71 / 8.39 .E6 : 1020 : / 8.19 : : :******************************************************************* :TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT : :LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 248.8 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 15 : .ER TODA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 248.9 / 249.0 / 249.2 .E2 : 1016 : / 249.2 / 249.1 / 249.0 / 249.0 .E3 : 1017 : / 249.2 / 249.4 / 249.5 / 249.4 .E4 : 1018 : / 249.3 / 249.2 / 249.1 / 249.0 .E5 : 1019 : / 249.0 / 248.9 / 248.8 / 248.7 .E6 : 1020 : / 248.7 .ER TODA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 .AR TODA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER TODA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 9.47 / 10.05 / 11.42 .E2 : 1016 : / 11.91 / 11.07 / 10.28 / 10.67 .E3 : 1017 : / 11.99 / 13.22 / 13.78 / 13.51 .E4 : 1018 : / 12.77 / 11.93 / 11.24 / 10.61 .E5 : 1019 : / 9.97 / 9.35 / 8.83 / 8.48 .E6 : 1020 : / 8.26 : : :******************************************************************* :LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.3 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 15 : .ER LITA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 .E2 : 1016 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 .E3 : 1017 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 .E4 : 1018 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 .E5 : 1019 : / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.3 .E6 : 1020 : / 7.3 .ER LITA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 .AR LITA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER LITA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 8.91 / 9.23 / 9.72 .E2 : 1016 : / 10.39 / 10.88 / 10.99 / 10.91 .E3 : 1017 : / 11.04 / 11.54 / 12.22 / 12.80 .E4 : 1018 : / 13.07 / 12.98 / 12.64 / 12.18 .E5 : 1019 : / 11.66 / 11.10 / 10.53 / 10.00 .E6 : 1020 : / 9.53 : : :******************************************************************* :PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.3 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 15 : .ER PBFA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.2 .E2 : 1016 : / 31.2 / 31.2 / 31.3 / 31.3 .E3 : 1017 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 .E4 : 1018 : / 31.3 / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.4 .E5 : 1019 : / 31.4 / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 .E6 : 1020 : / 31.3 .ER PBFA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 .AR PBFA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED ** :AT 6.95 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 15 : .ER PBFA4 1014 C DC202610150835/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6 :FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM .E1 : 1014 : / 5.13E / 5.68E / 6.31E / 6.95E : .ER PBFA4 1015 C DC202610150835/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1015 : / 7.66 / 8.36 / 8.88 .E2 : 1016 : / 9.28 / 9.77 / 10.35 / 10.79 .E3 : 1017 : / 10.95 / 10.97 / 11.14 / 11.60 .E4 : 1018 : / 12.21 / 12.74 / 13.00 / 12.93 .E5 : 1019 : / 12.63 / 12.18 / 11.67 / 11.12 .E6 : 1020 : / 10.56 : : :******************************************************************* : .AR TUA 1015 C DT202610151335/YIIRZ 17 : hlc : $$ : :River forecasts with zero forecast rainfall and other contingencies :available at https://www.weather.gov/source/abrfc/RawModel/index.html : :...END of MESSAGE...