FNUS54 KTSA 160804 FWFTSA Fire Weather Planning Forecast National Weather Service Tulsa OK 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 RED FLAG...None. .DISCUSSION... Multiple rounds of widespread beneficial rains remain expected across most of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas through Thursday evening. A strong cold front will move begin to move into northeast Oklahoma Thursday afternoon and continue to push southward Thursday night. Much colder and drier conditions will move in behind the front, and a substantial increase in northerly winds can be expected. The gusty winds will last through the day Friday before diminishing Friday night. In areas that see little rainfall, namely parts of far southeast Oklahoma, the strong winds and lower dew points will support at least limited fire weather concerns Friday afternoon. OKZ049-053-162100- Pushmataha-Choctaw- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Max/Min Temperature 64 42 66 Min/Max Humidity(%) 36 85 32 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 15 G34 N 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 14 G28 N 11 G25 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4950 4340 Transport Wnd (mph) N 29 NE 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 55 50 53 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 960 Category Day Index 5 3 Stability Class C F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ070-071-073>075-162100- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer- Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler, and Wilburton 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Max/Min Temperature 62 40 64 Min/Max Humidity(%) 42 95 38 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G30 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G28 N 10 G24 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4920 3830 Transport Wnd (mph) N 29 NE 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 53 49 49 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 900 Category Day Index 5 3 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ001-162100- Benton- Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Max/Min Temperature 57 37 61 Min/Max Humidity(%) 51 94 39 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G26 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G24 N 10 G23 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4590 3620 Transport Wnd (mph) N 28 NE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 49 45 45 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3030 650 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ002-162100- Carroll- Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mclear Max/Min Temperature 58 39 63 Min/Max Humidity(%) 50 88 38 AM 20ft Wind(mph) NW 16 G25 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 17 G24 N 12 G22 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660 3530 Transport Wnd (mph) N 28 NE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 49 45 44 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2920 630 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ010-162100- Washington AR- Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Max/Min Temperature 58 38 61 Min/Max Humidity(%) 47 89 38 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 17 G30 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 18 G27 N 12 G24 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4640 3520 Transport Wnd (mph) N 29 NE 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 49 44 44 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3030 660 Category Day Index 5 3 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ011-162100- Madison- Including the city of Huntsville 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mclear Max/Min Temperature 56 38 61 Min/Max Humidity(%) 52 91 42 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 17 G31 NE 6 G17 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 18 G27 N 13 G25 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4570 3490 Transport Wnd (mph) N 29 NE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 48 43 43 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3010 660 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ119-219-162100- Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford- Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Max/Min Temperature 62 40 65 Min/Max Humidity(%) 44 84 37 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 17 G31 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 18 G27 N 13 G24 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4930 4180 Transport Wnd (mph) N 29 NE 6 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 52 46 47 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 650 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ120-220-162100- Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin- Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro, Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Max/Min Temperature 64 40 67 Min/Max Humidity(%) 43 85 39 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G33 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 17 G27 N 12 G24 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4890 4260 Transport Wnd (mph) N 28 NE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 53 47 47 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3090 780 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ129-229-162100- North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian- Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford, Huntington, and Patterson 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Clear Max/Min Temperature 64 42 66 Min/Max Humidity(%) 40 86 36 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G27 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 17 G24 N 11 G24 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5280 4130 Transport Wnd (mph) N 28 NE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 54 48 48 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 740 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-162100- Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah- Central and Southern Sequoyah- Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Marble City, and Sallisaw 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Max/Min Temperature 61 38 63 Min/Max Humidity(%) 44 93 36 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 15 G28 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 15 G26 N 9 G22 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4770 3880 Transport Wnd (mph) N 29 NE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 51 46 47 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 740 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class C F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-162100- Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek- Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage- Southeast Osage- Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Max/Min Temperature 59 36 60 Min/Max Humidity(%) 45 99 41 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G28 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G26 N 8 G23 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4940 3380 Transport Wnd (mph) N 28 NE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 52 49 48 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 690 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ176-276-376-162100- Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore- Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau, and Talihina 304 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Max/Min Temperature 63 41 64 Min/Max Humidity(%) 38 87 34 AM 20ft Wind(mph) N 17 G35 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 16 G28 N 13 G30 Lgt/Var Precip Type None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5010 3930 Transport Wnd (mph) N 28 NE 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 53 48 48 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 800 Category Day Index 5 3 Stability Class D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$