FLUS44 KTSA 161745 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1245 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071- 073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-171745- Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford- Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford- Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha- Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers- Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage- Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage- Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage- Southern Le Flore- 1245 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...Limited. AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... Breezy northerly winds gusting in the 25 to 35 mph range will continue through the rest of this afternoon before diminishing this evening and overnight. The combination of the strong and gusty winds, low afternoon humidities and a little to no rainfall from this recent rain event will lead to elevated fire weather concerns across far southeast Oklahoma through the afternoon. Tonight, overnight lows will drop into the mid 30s across portions of northeast Oklahoma near the Kansas border. These temperatures combined with near calm winds and clear skies to lead to areas of frost. A Frost Advisory is in effect early Saturday morning for Osage, Pawnee and Washington counties in northeast Oklahoma. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Patchy frost will again be possible Sunday morning, with continued cool overnight low temperatures and light winds. Southerly winds will bring warmer conditions starting during the day Sunday that will continue through next week. Dry conditions will prevail through at least the middle of next week. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$