FNUS72 KTBW 191802 FWSTBW Spot Forecast for Duette Prescribed Fire...Manatee County National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 202 PM EDT Tue May 19 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 EDT on May 20. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... East winds will prevail through tonight into tomorrow, then the sea breeze will likely end up stopping very near the burn, with winds briefly turning winds northwest in the late afternoon/evening. Similar to today, rain and thunderstorms are expected during the afternoon and evening hours. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 70. Max humidity........97 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph. Dispersion index....5. LVORI...............7. TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........9 9 6 11 14 18 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............75 74 73 72 72 71 RH..............91 92 95 95 96 97 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.14 13 12 10 10 9 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E Transp wind spd.10 10 10 9 9 8 Dispersion idx..7 6 5 4 3 4 LVORI...........5 5 6 7 8 8 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 93. Min humidity........49 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 6 to 10 mph. Dispersion index....7 increasing to 42. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........21 23 23 24 26 27 33 40 46 50 53 57 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 50 Temp............71 71 73 78 81 84 88 90 91 92 91 91 RH..............96 96 97 84 75 69 59 55 51 49 50 50 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.9 10 10 12 12 10 10 9 10 9 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.8 2.9 3.6 4.7 5.5 6.1 6.2 5.5 5.2 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E NE Transp wind spd.8 8 9 10 9 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 Dispersion idx..4 5 9 17 27 35 41 45 46 45 43 37 LVORI...........8 8 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming clear (0-10 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....Around 71. Max humidity........95 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the east around 5 mph early in the evening, then shifting to the south late in the evening shifting to the east 5 to 6 mph in the late evening and overnight becoming light becoming east around 5 mph early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to 12 mph early in the evening. Dispersion index....27 decreasing to 4. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........59 60 62 54 47 39 37 17 10 4 4 5 Weather cov.....CHC LKY CHC CHC SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).50 60 50 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............89 86 82 79 78 76 75 74 73 73 72 72 RH..............53 60 71 78 81 84 88 91 92 93 95 93 20 FT wind dir..NW E E S E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 3 5 20 FT wind gust.9 9 8 9 10 12 12 10 10 9 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.NE NE E SE SE E E E E SE SE SE Transp wind spd.7 8 9 10 12 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 Dispersion idx..27 15 6 3 3 5 4 4 4 4 3 4 LVORI...........2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the northwest around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....7 increasing to 58. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........11 19 17 39 20 12 17 23 28 30 33 35 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 Temp............72 72 74 78 82 85 88 90 92 93 92 91 RH..............93 94 93 82 73 66 59 52 48 46 46 48 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E N NW 20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.9 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.6 5.7 6.8 6.3 5.8 5.3 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E N NW Transp wind spd.7 7 8 9 9 8 7 6 6 7 8 9 Dispersion idx..4 5 9 17 28 37 42 44 47 55 60 59 LVORI...........6 6 6 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Carlisle Requested by...Jerry Miller Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2614038.0/TBW .DELDT 05/19/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jerry.miller@mymanatee.org