FNUS75 KPUB 221111
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Willow...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
511 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 22. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorm chances over the burn scar will be moderate to high 
through Wednesday as monsoon moisture increases over the area. 
There will be the possibility of rainfall amounts sufficient to 
cause localized flash flooding on the burn scar most days, though 
Wednesday appears to have the greatest risk for heavy rainfall.
Winds will be light downslope/downvalley overnight into the morning
hours before becoming breezy from the west to northwest at around 
10-20 mph most afternoons.  The exception will be near thunderstorms
where erratic gusts up to 45 mph will be possible. Temperatures will 
gradually cool through the period due to greater thunderstorm 
coverage and resultant cool thunderstorm outflows. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(34 percent) until 1200, then 
                    mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers after 
                    1200 until 1600. Chance of thunderstorms after 
                    1200. Rain showers likely after 1600. 
Max temperature.....69-74F. 
Min humidity........30-35 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 4-8 mph until 0900, then southeast
                    5-10 mph until 1200, then northwest 8-18 mph. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 1000, then 5000 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Southwest around 11 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Fair after 1200. 


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 0200, then partly cloudy(37 
                    percent). Chance of rain showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2000, then slight chance of 
                    rain showers and thunderstorms until 2100. 
Min temperature.....50F. 
Max humidity........69-74 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West 8-16 mph until 2000 then northwest 4-8 mph. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms until 2000. 
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 2000, then 500 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph until 2200, then north around 
                    6 mph until 2300, then west until 2400, then 
                    southwest until 0400, then west around 7 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 


.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(38 percent) until 1400, then 
                    mostly cloudy until 1500. Chance of rain showers 
                    and thunderstorms after 1700. 
Max temperature.....66-72F. 
Min humidity........35-40 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West 4-8 mph until 1100, then west 12-24 mph. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms after 1700. 
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 6500 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Good after 1200. 


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West 8-18 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest 8-18 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest 8-18 mph.

$$
Forecaster...TORGERSON
Requested by...Chris Frost
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619978.3/PUB
.DELDT 08/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0