FXUS64 KOHX 240514
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1214 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1212 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

- Look for dry, cooler evening and overnight periods through 
  Tuesday morning. Fog is possible across the river valleys each 
  morning.

- Low to medium rain and storm chances return Wednesday and
  Wednesday night, then taper off on Thursday. But no hazardous 
  weather is expected for the foreseeable future.

- Temperatures from Wednesday through the weekend will stay close
  to seasonal norms, then perhaps a little warmer to start off
  next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 953 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Temperatures are cooling off quite nicely this evening and low 
dew points are allowing for excellent radiation cooling across
Middle Tennessee. We've got couple of cool nights in store, along
with non-existent rain chances the next couple of days. This 
evening, high pressure centered over the upper midwest is keeping 
the air mass over Middle Tennessee dry and a little cooler than 
seasonal norms, while we remain underneath a northwest flow aloft
with ridging situated to our west. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 953 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Our next rain chances start to develop on Wednesday as a surface
low comes together over the Arklatex and develops a boundary
across the Gulf Coast states and into the Tennessee Valley. It's
not a lot to work with, but we do introduce low to medium PoPs
Wednesday and Wednesday night, with rain chances tapering off on
Thursday as the system pulls off to the east. Although there will
be some storm chances, QPF values are somewhat anemic, and we
certainly aren't outlooked for any severe storms for the
foreseeable future. Temperatures will warm up to seasonal values 
by Wednesday, with readings staying close to seasonal norms 
through the weekend, then warming up a bit to start off next 
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

VFR conditions with light winds expected throughout this cycle.
The only exception should be MVFR vis at SRB prior to 12Z/Mon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      89  62  90  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Clarksville    87  61  88  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Crossville     82  58  85  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Columbia       90  63  91  65 /   0   0   0  10 
Cookeville     83  60  86  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Jamestown      82  58  84  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Lawrenceburg   88  62  90  64 /   0   0   0  10 
Murfreesboro   89  62  91  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Waverly        88  64  89  65 /   0   0   0  20 

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE.......Rose
SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Unger