FXUS64 KOHX 230330
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1030 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1026 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

- Slightly below normal temperatures with dry conditions expected
  through Monday.

- Low to medium rain and storm chances will return Tuesday through
  the end of the week with seasonable temperatures in the low-90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday Night)
Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

A cold front has worked its way through Middle TN, and drier air is 
filtering in behind the front. Calm conditions are expected tonight 
with just patchy fog to keep an eye on. Confidence in fog is once 
again highest across the Plateau with any fog that does develop 
diminishing after sunrise. Upper-level troughing remains in place 
across the eastern CONUS, and in the wake of the front, temperatures 
on Sunday will cool a few degrees with high temperatures in the mid 
to upper-80s with dry conditions. Monday will be similar with 
highs still in the 80s and dry conditions prevailing.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

By Tuesday, the aforementioned trough shifts to the east and ridging 
sets up to the west. For Middle TN, this means northwest flow will 
persist through the end of the week, opening the door for a few 
shortwaves to move through the area. These shortwaves and an 
increase in moisture allows for daily low to medium rain chances to 
return to the forecast Tuesday through the end of the week. 
Temperatures will also warm a few degrees, but high temperatures in 
the low-90s will still be seasonably normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

A cluster of thunderstorms will impact CSV over the next hour or
two, otherwise VFR conditions prevail for all taf sites. A cold
front is laid across Middle TN right now that is resulting in a
gradual northerly wind shift. Winds will relax below 10 kts in the
coming hours with high clouds passing through overnight. Areas of
dense fog will be likely at CSV and SRB overnight, burning off
after sunrise. Winds will remain northerly through the day 
Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  88  61  87 /  10   0   0   0 
Clarksville    63  85  60  84 /   0   0   0   0 
Crossville     60  81  57  82 /  10   0   0   0 
Columbia       66  90  63  88 /  10   0   0   0 
Cookeville     62  83  59  82 /  10   0   0   0 
Jamestown      61  81  58  81 /  10   0   0   0 
Lawrenceburg   65  88  62  86 /  10   0   0   0 
Murfreesboro   65  89  61  87 /  20   0   0   0 
Waverly        65  86  62  85 /  10   0   0   0 

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Clements
LONG TERM....Clements
AVIATION.....Baggett