FNUS75 KMSO 221134
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Skillet Fire
National Weather Service Missoula MT
534 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on August 22. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...Light rain showers this morning will give way to
breaks in clouds followed by showers and thunderstorms tracking 
from southwest to northeast likely to begin after 5pm MDT through 
the overnight. Storms will be capable of strong to near-severe 
wind gusts (30-50 mph), localized briefly intense wetting rains, 
and hail less than one inch in diameter. A cold front passing 
through late tonight into Sunday will draw in a significantly 
drier airmass, along with deep vertical mixing, and strong 
westerly winds bringing near-critical fire weather conditions to 
the region.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy with a chance of rain showers in the
  morning then becoming partly cloudy with slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....15 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....79-84. 
* Min Humidity........22-27 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-6 mph in the morning becoming 
  south-southwest 3-10 with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......Near 500 ft agl in the morning increasing to
  6500 ft agl in the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 15 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.05 inches. 

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....40 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....52-57. 
* Max Humidity........75-80 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........South-southwest 3-6 mph with gusts up to 15
  mph.
* Mixing Height.......Decreasing to 500 ft agl overnight. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 20 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.30 inches. 

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny, slight chance of showers and
  thunderstorms.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....10 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....66-71. 
* Min Humidity........25-30 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest 6-15 mph with gusts to 30 
  mph in the afternoon. 
* Mixing Height.......Increasing to 8500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........West 20 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.03 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Parker
Requested by...Katelyn Miller
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620011.2/MSO
.DELDT 08/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL katelyn_miller@firenet.gov