FNUS73 KMQT 161958 FWSMQT Spot Forecast for Black River...MI DNR National Weather Service Marquette MI 358 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on October 16. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Northwest winds continue to taper off into this evening as the pressure gradient slackens. Drier air moving in clears skies out allowing for colder temperatures near 30 by Saturday morning; RH recovers into the upper 80s. High pressure building in from the west turns winds southwest for Saturday, with breezy winds frequently gusting 20-25 mph the remainder of the weekend. There is a 20-40% chance for gusts in excess of 30 mph on Saturday and 30-60% chance on Sunday. Temperatures trend warmer through the weekend, peaking near 55 on Saturday and 60 on Sunday. Minimum RH will be much lower on Saturday (near 30%) than on Sunday where it falls near 40%, but daytime ventilation improves through the weekend with plenty of clear skies. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........40 at forecast start...Min 28. RH..................61 percent at forecast start...Max 87 percent. Dewpoint............27. 33-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph after 3 am. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds up to 8 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming southwest up to 5 mph after 3 am. Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 1500-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 400-600 ft AGL early in the evening. Ventilation index...Good (423) at forecast start. Min...poor (29.0). Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......4.9 increasing to 23. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........48 41 41 36 28 34 34 36 19 14 5 4 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............40 39 37 35 34 33 33 32 31 31 30 30 Dewpoint........28 28 29 29 29 29 29 28 27 27 26 26 RH..............61 65 71 80 82 84 86 87 86 85 85 84 33 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..10 10 10 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..8 8 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 5 5 Wind gust.......16 16 16 10 10 10 7 7 7 11 11 11 Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.42 18 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 Ceiling (kft)...4.9 5.2 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.4 9.8 12 23 23 23 24 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Max 54. RH..................Min 33 percent. Dewpoint............25. 33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in the late morning and afternoon. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL increasing to 2400-2500 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Ventilation index...Poor to good (48.0-531.0) increasing to good (556.0) late in the afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......23. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........5 4 3 6 3 0 1 1 2 3 2 3 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............30 30 31 32 37 41 44 47 51 52 53 53 Dewpoint........25 25 25 25 26 27 25 24 23 24 25 26 RH..............82 81 78 76 65 57 48 41 34 33 33 34 33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..9 9 9 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..7 7 7 11 11 11 13 13 13 13 13 13 Wind gust.......14 14 14 20 20 20 22 22 22 22 22 22 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.5 6 6 9 21 30 45 53 56 58 59 57 Ceiling (kft)...23 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 23 23 23 23 .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Min 34. RH..................Max 73 percent. Dewpoint............29. 33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 17 mph with gusts to around 29 mph. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 14 mph with gusts to around 23 mph. Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (73.0-295.0). Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......23 early in the evening. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........4 5 6 3 4 3 11 3 3 4 5 20 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............52 50 48 44 44 43 43 40 39 39 36 38 Dewpoint........27 28 30 30 30 31 30 30 29 29 29 28 RH..............38 42 49 57 59 61 61 66 66 67 73 68 33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 17 17 17 20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 Wind gust.......22 22 22 22 22 22 20 20 20 23 23 23 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 VIndx kt-ft/100.30 20 12 8 9 10 8 8 9 7 8 9 Ceiling (kft)...23 23 23 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Max 59. RH..................Min 40 percent. Dewpoint............29 increasing to 34 late in the morning. 33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 14 to 20 mph with gusts to around 31 mph. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL increasing to 2400-2500 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Ventilation index...Poor to good (79.0-564.0) increasing to good to excellent (592.0-664.0) late in the afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......MISSING. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........20 18 22 0 11 21 22 24 25 22 19 16 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............37 37 38 38 42 46 50 53 56 58 58 57 Dewpoint........28 28 28 30 31 33 33 33 33 34 34 35 RH..............69 70 67 71 67 60 52 46 42 40 40 44 33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..20 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 18 17 17 17 20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..16 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 Wind gust.......24 24 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 23 23 23 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.8 8 11 15 25 39 50 56 60 66 66 59 Ceiling (kft)... $$ Forecaster...77 Requested by...Jeff Vasher Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2623783.2/MQT .DELDT 10/16/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov