FNUS73 KMQT 152101 FWSMQT Spot Forecast for Ridge Fire...MI DNR National Weather Service Marquette MI 501 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on October 15. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A low pressure system tracking over the Great Lakes has brought rain back to the area this afternoon. Rain continues overnight, transitioning to lake effect rain showers Friday morning as a cold airmass presses in from the west. Total rainfall amounts are expected between 1 and 1.5 inches. RH remains very high through Friday morning as temperatures settle into the upper 30s. The cool and wet conditions yield poor ventilation through early Friday morning. North winds increase Friday morning with gusts between 25-35 mph; a few gusts up to 40 mph are possible. Wet snowflakes may mix in with the rain showers late Friday evening before drier air filters in ending precipitation Friday night. Winds gradually taper off Friday afternoon and evening. Temperatures warm into the low 40s and RH struggles to get into the 70s under cloudy skies. High pressure brings back mostly clear skies, warmer daytime high temperatures, lower RH, and dry weather into the weekend. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain. Chance of pcpn......100 percent. Chance of thunder...8 percent. Temperature.........47 at forecast start...Min 37. RH..................100 percent. Dewpoint............45 decreasing to 40 after 3 am. 33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming north 5 to 13 mph with gusts to around 24 mph overnight. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming north up to 10 mph with gusts to around 19 mph overnight. Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 500-1400 ft AGL. Ventilation index...Fair (130) at forecast start. Min...poor (28.0). Rainfall amount.....0.70 inches. Ceiling (kft).......0.8 decreasing to 0.5. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........91 96 96 95 94 93 93 93 94 93 94 95 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).90 90 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90 90 100 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............47 46 45 45 44 44 43 43 43 43 42 41 Dewpoint........47 46 45 45 44 44 43 43 43 43 42 39 RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 93 33 ft wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE N N N N N N 33 ft wind spd..6 6 6 3 3 3 5 5 5 13 13 13 20 ft wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE N N N N N N 20 ft wind spd..5 5 5 2 2 2 4 4 4 10 10 10 Wind gust.......10 10 10 6 6 6 10 10 10 19 19 19 Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.13 10 9 8 5 5 3 3 3 7 14 18 Ceiling (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers. Chance of pcpn......100 percent. Chance of thunder...9 percent. Temperature.........Max 43. RH..................Min 78 percent. Dewpoint............39 increasing to 40 late in the morning, then decreasing to 35 late in the afternoon. 33-foot winds.......Breezy. North winds 15 to 25 mph increasing to 22 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 41mph. 20-foot winds.......Breezy. North winds 18 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 41 mph. Mixing height.......1300-3200 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Ventilation index...Fair to excellent (217.0-669.0) increasing to excellent (831.0) late in the morning. Rainfall amount.....0.46 inches. Ceiling (kft).......0.6 increasing to 4.1. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........95 94 89 91 84 89 88 88 89 90 90 90 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).90 90 100 90 80 80 80 80 60 40 20 20 Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 Temp............40 39 37 38 41 42 42 41 42 41 41 40 Dewpoint........38 37 37 38 41 42 41 40 38 37 35 34 RH..............94 95 100 100 100 99 99 95 85 86 78 79 33 ft wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N 33 ft wind spd..20 20 20 25 25 25 26 26 26 25 25 25 20 ft wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 ft wind spd..16 16 16 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 20 20 Wind gust.......29 29 29 32 32 32 33 33 33 31 31 31 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.6 VIndx kt-ft/100.22 26 36 44 67 83 83 103 99 100 95 101 Ceiling (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 2.0 3.1 4.1 .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain showers and snow showers early in the evening, then slight chance of snow showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Min 30. RH..................Max 87 percent. Dewpoint............31 decreasing to 27 in the late evening and overnight. 33-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 21 mph with gusts to around 35 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around 20 mph overnight, then shifting to the west around 6 mph after 3 am. 20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 7 mph with gusts to around 16 mph overnight, then shifting to the west around 5 mph after 3 am. Mixing height.......1600-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1200 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Ventilation index...Excellent (667.0) decreasing to poor to fair (33.0-295.0) early in the evening. Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches. Ceiling (kft).......5.0 increasing to 15. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........81 78 69 49 50 44 30 11 22 10 14 19 Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH Weather type....RS SW SW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 10 10 10 10 10 20 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............39 38 36 35 34 34 34 33 32 32 31 30 Dewpoint........33 32 30 29 28 28 27 27 27 27 27 27 RH..............78 78 78 79 78 77 78 79 82 82 85 87 33 ft wind dir..N N N N N N NW NW NW W W W 33 ft wind spd..21 21 21 15 15 15 9 9 9 6 6 6 20 ft wind dir..N N N N N N NW NW NW W W W 20 ft wind spd..17 17 17 12 12 12 7 77 5 5 5 Wind gust.......28 28 28 24 24 24 16 16 16 13 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.0 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.81 67 30 20 19 16 10 6 4 3 4 4 Ceiling (kft)...5.0 5.9 6.8 9.4 12 15 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Temperature.........Max 53. RH..................Min 28 percent. Dewpoint............24 decreasing to 21 in the afternoon. 33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 15 mph. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL increasing to 2900-3700 ft AGL in the afternoon. Ventilation index...Poor to good (47.0-484.0) increasing to excellent (618.0) in the afternoon. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......MISSING. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........20 27 10 0 2 4 3 2 1 1 0 0 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............30 30 30 33 37 42 45 49 51 52 53 53 Dewpoint........26 26 25 25 25 26 23 21 19 20 22 23 RH..............86 85 82 74 62 52 41 34 28 28 29 32 33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 33 ft wind spd..8 8 8 12 12 12 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 ft wind spd..6 6 6 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 Wind gust.......18 18 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.4 VIndx kt-ft/100.5 5 6 9 17 33 48 62 70 75 73 64 Ceiling (kft)... $$ Forecaster...77 Requested by...Jeff Vasher Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2623782.1/MQT .DELDT 10/15/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov