FNUS73 KMPX 191037
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Twin Lakes Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
537 AM CDT Tue May 19 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 19. 
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with 
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Twin Lake Rx burn, skies will be overcast to
mostly cloudy with highs reaching the upper 40s by this afternoon.
There is a relatively low chance for scatted sprinkles for the
second half of today. NW winds will remain breezy with sustained
20FT will hold steady at or about 15 mph with gusts between 23-25
mph. RH values will start off in the mid 70 percents and then fall
into the upper 50 percents this afternoon. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of sprinkles in 
                    the afternoon. 
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 50. 
RH..................76 percent at ignition...Min 56 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 15 mph at 
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 15 to 16 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good /49600 knot-ft/ at ignition. 
                    Max...excellent /90200 knot-ft/. 
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft 
                    AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 24 mph. 

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  
Weather cov.....            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........                                                
Temp............44  45  45  46  47  49  48  49  49  49  48  45  
RH..............76  73  73  68  65  61  60  58  58  56  58  63  
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  16  16  16  15  15  14  13  9   6   
20 FT wind gust.23  23  23  24  24  24  23  23  21  20  14  9   
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.1 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5 3.1 2.5 0.9 
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  
Transp wind spd.22  23  22  24  24  24  24  23  22  18  16  12  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming 
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming 
                    clear (0-10 percent). Chance of sprinkles in 
                    the evening. Areas of frost after 3 am. 
Temperature.........Min 35. 
RH..................Max 89 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 14 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (86300 knot-ft) early in the evening 
                    decreasing to poor (1500 knot-ft) late in the 
                    night. 
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 22 mph decreasing to 6 to 12 
                    mph in the late evening and overnight. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in 
                    the morning. 
Temperature.........Max 62. 
RH..................Min 32 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200 knot-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to good (49800 knot-ft) in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 6 mph increasing to 6 to 8 mph 
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the 
                    northeast around 8 mph early in the afternoon 
                    shifting to the southwest 6 to 10 mph in the 
                    afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...Dunleavy
Requested by...Ben Carlson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614002.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/19/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin.carlson@tnc.org