FNUS72 KMLB 220719 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for CCSFS Area 59...Usfws National Weather Service Melbourne FL 319 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Light and variable winds this morning will become southeasterly after 1 PM as the east coast sea breeze develops and moves inland. Wind speeds will remain generally around 10 mph. No minimum RH concerns are forecast, with smoke dispersion values anticipated to be poor to fair near the burn site. There is a 30-40% chance for offshore-moving showers and storms to approach the site after 3 PM, with storm hazards including lightning strikes, wind gusts to 55 mph, small hail, and heavy downpours. Outflow boundaries from any nearby activity may lead to sudden wind shifts near the burn site. Any showers and storms that do manage to develop will move offshore this evening, with drier conditions overnight. Similar weather and fire weather conditions are forecast on Sunday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Max temperature.....Around 95. Min humidity........53 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 7 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the south 7 to 13 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....5 increasing to 14. LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........44 45 30 30 30 32 38 39 39 40 Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 40 Temp............79 83 87 89 92 94 95 94 94 92 RH..............94 80 70 66 60 54 53 56 56 62 20 FT wind dir..SW W W SW SW S SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.8 Transp wind dir.W W W SW SW SW S S S S Transp wind spd.7 7 6 5 6 6 7 9 12 13 Dispersion idx..5 8 9 11 12 12 11 13 14 11 LVORI...........6 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 76. Max humidity........97 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest 7 to 9 mph after 3 am. Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 4. LVORI...............3 increasing to 6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........48 51 45 39 36 28 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONENONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).40 30 10 0 0 0 Temp............90 84 81 81 79 78 RH..............66 77 85 85 91 91 20 ft wind......S 10 S 8 S 7 S 6 SW 5 SW 5 20 ft wind gust.15 14 12 10 9 8 Mix hgt (ft)....900 900 600 800 500 600 Transport wind..S 14 S 13 S 14 S 12 SW 10 SW 8 Dispersion idx..14 11 9 5 5 4 LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 6 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........54 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and early afternoon shifting to the southeast 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 7 to 9 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....3 increasing to 19. LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........19 9 12 17 30 33 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 20 20 Temp............77 79 87 91 93 93 RH..............94 91 70 60 54 56 20 ft wind......SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 SE 7 SE 8 20 ft wind gust.8 8 8 8 9 10 Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 1800 2300 1900 1600 Transport wind..SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 S 7 SE 8 Dispersion idx..3 4 13 16 17 19 LVORI...........6 6 3 2 2 2 $$ Forecaster...Tollefsen Requested by...Alan taylor Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2620208.0/MLB .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL alan_taylor@fws.gov