FNUS76 KMFR 161912
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for W Fork Evans Creek...ODF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1212 PM PDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 PDT on October 16. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.Discussion...

A strong inversion is anticipated to develop overnight. Initially,
the inversion looks to start settling in around 6 PM with further
strengthening overnight with limited mixing to the lowest few 
hundred feet overnight. Wind speeds may stay slightly elevated 
through early evening compared to a "normal" light and variable 
situation. Wind coming off the Umpqua Divide from the north could 
be around 5 to upwards near 10 mph overnight. Saturday morning,
the inversion looks to start to mix out around 10-11 AM with
heights increasing through peak heating. Wind speeds Saturday
afternoon are expected to be stronger compared to today (Fri). 


.TONIGHT (Starting at 6 PM)...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 47. 
Max humidity........73 percent. 
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 4 mph. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph with gusts of 14 mph. 
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 70. 
Min humidity........48 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest up to 5 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 8 to 10 mph in 
                    the afternoon with gusts around 16 mph. 
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming 
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 46. 
Max humidity........90 percent. 
Eye level winds.....North winds around 2 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming 
                    light. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 

$$
Forecaster...GUERRERO
Requested by...Matt Fumasi
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623875.1/MFR
.DELDT 10/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matt.r.fumasi@odf.oregon.gov