FNUS76 KMFR 151909
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Hammond Ranch Burn...Shasta Valley RCD
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1209 PM PDT Thu Oct 15 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 PDT on October 16. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry, warm weather continues Friday. This is likely the 
driest humidity (perhaps down to single digits in some areas during 
mid afternoon) of the next several days. High probability (>90% chance)
that it's lower than 20%. Winds should not be that strong, but could 
gust to 15 mph (at 20 ft). Expect moderate overnight RH recoveries. 
Weak dry front pushes by to the north on Saturday, so should be at 
least some cooling and higher humidity (but still could be below 20%). 
Dry weather continues Sunday. Next system with a chance of rain, cooler
temps and higher RH arrives Monday/Monday night. 

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Max temperature.....79-83. 
Min humidity........9-14 percent. 
Eye level winds.....SE 1-4 mph becoming variable 0-2 mph by 
                    1100, then shifting back to E 1-4 mph 
                    with gusts to 6 mph in the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........SE 4-7 mph becoming N 1-4 mph by 1100, 
                    shifting back to E 4-9 mph with gusts to 
                    15 mph in the afternoon.  
Mixing height.......Rising to 4500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....ESE becoming S 5-10 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Min temperature.....42-46. 
Max humidity........50-60 percent. 
Eye level winds.....ESE becoming SE 1-3 mph. 
Wind (20 ft)........ESE 3-6 mph with gusts to 12 mph in the 
                    evening, then SE 4-7. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....S 5-10 mph, easing to 5 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Max temperature.....74-78. 
Min humidity........15-20 percent. 
Eye level winds.....SE 1-4 mph becoming variable 0-2 mph by 
                    1100, then shifting back to E 1-4 mph 
                    with gusts to 6 mph in the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........SE 4-7 mph becoming N 1-4 mph by 1100, 
                    shifting back to E 4-9 mph with gusts to 
                    15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Rising to 6000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....SW 5-10 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE/SPINETTI
Requested by...Sam Commarto
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623852.0/MFR
.DELDT 10/15/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sam@crosscontourfire.com