FNUS54 KMEG 160830 FWFMEG Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth National Weather Service Memphis TN 330 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 .DISCUSSION... A strong cold front will move across the Mid-South beginning early Friday morning. Post-frontal relative humidity values will drop below 40 percent Friday afternoon. Elevated 20 ft northwest winds around 15-20 mph will accompany decreased relative humidity. Areas generally along and west of a line from Dyersburg, TN to Oxford, MS, will result in an elevated fire danger risk Friday afternoon. A Rangeland Fire Danger Statement has been issued for northeast central AR, NW MS, and far SW TN. Winds will gradually diminish into the upcoming weekend. No appreciable rainfall is expected over the next seven days. ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162100- Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett- 330 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Precip Chance (%) 10 Precip Type None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 65 (-27) 44 (-16) 63 RH % (24h trend) 38 (+4) 89 (0) 37 AM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 14 G23 N 11 G19 PM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 15 G24 N 12 G23 NE 10 G18 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1400 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5500 4500 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5700 4800 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 12 NE 6 Transport Wnd (mph) N 26 NE 14 Vent Index (m2/s) 20400 9000 Category Day 5 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 57 50 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 11 N 9 500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 23 N 19 Dispersion Index 67 49 46 Stability Class D E C Stagnation Index 2 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 31 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 31 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 29 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162100- Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis- 330 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Precip Chance (%) 10 Precip Type None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 68 (-23) 46 (-15) 66 RH % (24h trend) 33 (0) 86 (-5) 34 AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 12 G24 N 8 G22 PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 12 G23 N 10 G24 NE 9 G17 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1400 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5200 4700 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5400 4900 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 12 NE 7 Transport Wnd (mph) N 26 NE 15 Vent Index (m2/s) 20400 10500 Category Day 5 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 59 51 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 11 N 9 500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 25 N 21 Dispersion Index 70 41 51 Stability Class C E C Stagnation Index 2 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 29 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 29 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 29 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 27 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 26 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ TNZ001>004-019>022-162100- Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley- 330 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Precip Chance (%) 20 Precip Type None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 65 (-26) 42 (-17) 62 RH % (24h trend) 42 (+4) 100 (+4) 37 AM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 12 G21 N 11 G18 PM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 12 G23 N 11 G23 NE 10 G17 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1400 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4600 4700 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5000 5100 Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 10 NE 7 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 23 NE 15 Vent Index (m2/s) 15000 10500 Category Day 4 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 56 49 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 10 N 8 500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 22 N 18 Dispersion Index 61 44 46 Stability Class D D C Stagnation Index 2 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 32 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ TNZ048>055-088>091-162100- Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson- Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton- 330 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Precip Chance (%) 10 Precip Type None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 67 (-24) 43 (-17) 63 RH % (24h trend) 39 (+4) 100 (+4) 35 AM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 12 G23 N 11 G20 PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 13 G22 N 11 G23 N 11 G18 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4500 4800 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4900 5200 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 10 NE 7 Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 NE 15 Vent Index (m2/s) 15000 11200 Category Day 4 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 59 51 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 10 N 8 500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 22 N 19 Dispersion Index 60 42 49 Stability Class D D C Stagnation Index 2 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 29 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162100- Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha- 330 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Precip Chance (%) 10 Precip Type None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 71 (-21) 46 (-17) 68 RH % (24h trend) 33 (-1) 88 (-5) 33 AM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 12 G23 N 11 G22 PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 14 G23 N 11 G23 NE 11 G19 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4600 4900 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4900 5100 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 11 NE 7 Transport Wnd (mph) N 24 NE 16 Vent Index (m2/s) 16500 11200 Category Day 5 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 61 51 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 10 N 9 500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 23 N 21 Dispersion Index 63 43 53 Stability Class D E C Stagnation Index 2 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 29 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 28 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 26 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 25 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162100- Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS- Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union- 330 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today Tonight Sat Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 Precip Chance (%) 10 Precip Type None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 76 (-15) 46 (-17) 67 RH % (24h trend) 36 (+1) 92 (0) 33 AM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 8 G20 N 11 G20 PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 13 G23 N 11 G23 N 11 G20 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3500 4800 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4000 5200 Transport Wnd (m/s) N 10 NE 7 Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 NE 16 Vent Index (m2/s) 12000 11200 Category Day 4 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 63 52 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 9 N 8 500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 20 N 18 Dispersion Index 47 28 54 Stability Class D E C Stagnation Index 2 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 31 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 28 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 27 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$