FXUS65 KLKN 200727
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1227 AM PDT Wed May 20 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...
  
* Warming trend Wednesday through Sunday 

* High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada Sunday
  afternoon about ten degrees above normal for this time of year

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 1212 AM PDT Wed May 20 2026

No changes have been made to the forecast.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will remain in
the vicinity of Eastern Nevada this afternoon through Wednesday. 
An atmospheric disturbance will dive southward along the trough of
low pressure Wednesday night and Thursday. Precipitation
associated with this atmospheric disturbance should remain
northeast of Elko County. Zonal flow aloft will prevail Thursday
night and Friday. A ridge of high pressure will build
northwestward across the Silver State this weekend into early next
week. A warming trend is expected Wednesday through Sunday. By
Sunday afternoon, high temperatures will be around ten degrees
above normal for this time of year. 

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding a warming trend Wednesday through Sunday. Moderate
forecast confidence in high temperatures Sunday afternoon about
ten degrees above normal for this time of year. No deviations from
the NBM model output. 

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions today and tonight at all terminals. Mostly sunny
early this morning with increasing clouds late this morning
through the early evening hours. Generally SCT-BKN FL100-120,
BKN-OVC FL200. Diminishing clouds later this evening and
overnight. Light NW winds of 5-10kts gusting 10-15kts,
occasionally variable. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Light NW winds 5 to 10 mph gusting to around 15 mph this
afternoon. There is a 15% chance of showers and 5% chance of 
thunderstorms in northern FWZ 470 near Jackpot this afternoon, 
though any precipitation would be less than a couple hundredths of 
an inch or just virga. Otherwise dry and storm-free across all 
zones. Temperatures will be trending warmer through the weekend. 

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None. 

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96