FXUS65 KLKN 190743
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1243 AM PDT Tue May 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...
  
* Temperatures are trending warmer with highs this afternoon 
  generally in the 60s.

* Increasing clouds this afternoon across Elko County, with a 10%
  chance of thunderstorms up near Jackpot.

* Memorial Day Weekend will be warm with highs in the upper 70s 
  to mid 80s. 

* Probability of thunderstorms Saturday are trending higher with
  some models suggesting a 20% chance across Elko county.

&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 1210 AM PDT Tue May 19 2026

No changes have been made to the forecast.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Sunday)

Quiet weather returns this week as NW flow aloft looks to keep NV
dry, allowing for temperatures to warm back into the 80s by the 
Weekend. Overall weak troughing pattern over the interior Mountain
west will keep northwesterly flow aloft over the great basin 
through next weekend. Monday through Wednesday look to be dry with
light to breezy NW winds. Thursday a quick moving upper trough 
will ride the NW flow, bringing a wind shift line through Nevada, 
but models keep this system far enough to the NE that only the far
NE Elko county could see a 10% chance for a light shower Thursday
afternoon, this front will stall across central NV and this may 
be enough to generate a isolated shower for the mountains of N Nye
county Friday. After Friday dry conditions return for the weekend
lasting through Memorial Day. The main story this week will be 
the temperatures as the cold air mass left in the wake of Sundays 
storm system begins to modify and warm. Highs will start cool in 
the upper 50s to upper 60s Monday afternoon and warm through the 
week back into the mid 70s to mid 80s by Friday afternoon. Lows 
will gradually warm as well starting in the low 20s to low 30s 
Tuesday morning the rising back into the mid 40s to mid 50s by the
Saturday morning. 

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: 

There is moderate confidence for quiet, dry weather conditions 
with warming temperatures lasting through the Holiday weekend.

There is low confidence (5-10% chance) for isolated thunderstorms
across NE Elko county both this afternoon and again on Wednesday.
Thursday afternoon there is low confidence (10-15% chance) of 
thunderstorms across Northern Nye and White Pine counties. 

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected at all TAF terminals today and
Wednesday with winds generally 5 to 10 mph gusting to 15 mph each
afternoon. 


KEKO remains AMD NOT SKED due to communication disruption.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None. 

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...96