FXUS65 KGJT 161653
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1053 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and unseasonably cool conditions remain in place through 
  the weekend.
 
- A Freeze Warning is in effect tonight for valley locations 
  where sub-freezing temperatures are expected.

- The potential for unsettled weather will increase throughout
  the week ahead. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1036 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026

COOL AND DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: 

With high pressure driving the forecast, sunny days, clear 
nights, and dry conditons continue through the weekend. A Freeze
Warning remains in effect tonight for parts of northwest 
Colorado and CO Zone 23 in southwest Colorado with another night
of sub-freezing temperatures expected. Most locations within 
the Freeze Warning also saw a hard freeze last night.

Otherwise, seasonable to seasonably cool daytime temperatures 
highlight the forecast through the weekend. 

UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS NEXT WEEK:

The next chance for impactful weather comes next week as a low 
pressure system traverses the West. Ahead of this system, 
southwesterly flow will begin to direct moisture towards the 
region as early as Monday. As a result, isolated convection is 
possible over the southern Mountains early in the week. By mid- 
week, an uptick in synoptic forcing could increase the coverage 
of showers and storms across the region. It's too early to pin 
down the potential hazards associated with this system, but 
expect increasingly unsettled weather as the week progresses. 

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1046 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Clear skies and light winds will keep VFR conditions solidly
in place over the next 24 hours.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM MDT Saturday for 
     COZ001-002-005-008-023.
UT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KAA
AVIATION...TGJT