FXUS64 KEPZ 161942 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 142 PM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 ...New FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 141 PM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 - A cold front has pushed through today bringing continued breezy and windy conditions with well below normal temperatures. - High wind warning and wind advisory still in effect through tonight for southwest New Mexico. Wind gusts to 50 mph are possible in New Mexico bootheel. - Scattered rain showers for the middle of next week as temperatures rebound. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1202 PM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Today, we will see our coldest temperatures of the season so far with lows dipping down to the low 40s through much of the lowlands. Area mountains will see subfreezing conditions with the Sacs reaching the low 20s in some parts during tomorrow's early morning. These temperature trends are about 15 to 20 degrees below normal for this time of year. High temperatures will rebound by the end of the weekend. Widespread sustained easterly winds between 20 and 30 mph will continue this afternoon and evening with gusts exceeding 50 mph at times in parts of southern Hidalgo county. Blowing dust remains a concern through this evening coinciding with the greatest wind threat in southern Hidalgo county according to the signatures in the RRFS. A Blowing Dust Advisory near the Lordsburg Playa, NM Bootheel, and Luna county is in effect through 8 PM tonight. Winds subside and precip chances are rather slim for most of the weekend with greater chances favoring the western half of the CWA on Sunday morning as a developing upper level low pushes east. This low deepens considerably over the course of next week bringing with it increasing chances for precip. Flooding is possible with areawide rain and PWs reaching around 1 inch. Confidence remains low for midweek rain impacts at this time. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1152 AM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Breezy to windy conditions will start to slowly decrease tonight. Winds out in western NM (like KDMN) and the higher terrain stays quite breezy tonight. Saturday will become breezy as well but not to the level that we saw last night or today. Breezier winds out in KDMN tomorrow afternoon and continued dry conditions. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 141 PM MDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Winds remain breezy to windy today sustained between 25-30 mph, before subsiding late this evening. Lighter winds Saturday afternoon except locations bordering Arizona. Light winds of 5-10 mph persist each afternoon through mid-week next week. Min RH's will begin to rise over the weekend starting in the upper teens in the lowlands and reaching the 20s in higher terrain. On Sunday, these values increase as more moisture filters into the area. By next week, rain chances will continue to increase putting min RH's over 40% by Wednesday. Ventilation rates range from good to very good today and drop to poor to good tomorrow. Rates Sunday will be poor becoming poor to good early next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 43 64 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 35 60 37 66 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 39 62 43 65 / 0 0 0 10 Alamogordo 37 62 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 22 47 32 51 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 39 62 46 65 / 0 0 0 20 Silver City 37 59 43 61 / 0 0 30 40 Deming 41 64 45 66 / 0 0 0 20 Lordsburg 43 62 48 65 / 0 0 40 40 West El Paso Metro 46 64 49 68 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 37 62 39 68 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 44 69 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 35 56 39 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 43 67 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 42 63 45 67 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 42 65 45 68 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 38 63 43 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 39 65 45 69 / 0 0 0 20 Columbus 45 64 48 68 / 0 0 0 20 Orogrande 37 63 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 26 57 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 26 59 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 25 54 33 56 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 31 56 38 60 / 0 0 10 20 Hillsboro 38 61 44 63 / 0 0 0 20 Spaceport 35 63 43 65 / 0 0 0 20 Lake Roberts 32 62 38 64 / 0 0 30 30 Hurley 37 60 42 63 / 0 0 10 30 Cliff 43 69 49 69 / 0 0 40 40 Mule Creek 40 64 46 64 / 0 0 30 40 Faywood 37 59 43 62 / 0 0 0 30 Animas 45 63 48 67 / 0 0 30 30 Hachita 42 62 46 65 / 0 0 20 20 Antelope Wells 43 64 46 67 / 0 0 10 20 Cloverdale 41 60 45 66 / 0 0 30 30 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...Wind Advisory until midnight MDT tonight for Central Grant County/Silver City Area-Eastern Black Range Foothills- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-Upper Gila River Valley. High Wind Warning until midnight MDT tonight for Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel. Blowing Dust Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Lowlands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley- Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-Uplands of the Bootheel. && $$ FORECASTER...37-Slusher