FNUS74 KEPZ 231041 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Sunset...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 441 AM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 23. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Abnormally warm conditions will continue with highs running about 10 degrees above normal with min RH values in the upper teens. Skies will start off clear this morning becoming partly to mostly cloudy with cumulus build- ups by this afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible with about a 20% chance storms will move across the site. Winds will be light, starting off from the west becoming southerly this afternoon, before returning from the west overnight. The exception will be any thunderstorm outflows. Smoke transport will be west to east, becoming south to north with good venting. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) then becoming partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 82. Min humidity........18 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the south around 7 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph shifting to the south 8 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (99400 knot-ft) . TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........13 13 4 20 20 66 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 20 Temp............66 72 77 81 82 82 RH..............33 28 22 18 20 20 20 ft wind......W 6 W 6 SW 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 20 ft wind gust.13 13 12 14 14 15 Mix hgt (ft)....500 4400 9700 12000 12400 11100 Transport wind..W 9 W 10 S 8 S 9 S 9 SW 9 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 31 68 96 99 89 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 68. Max humidity........32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the west around 9 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west 12 to 13 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (50200 knot-ft) . TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........59 59 18 44 44 10 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 0 0 0 0 Temp............80 75 72 70 70 69 RH..............21 27 28 30 30 30 20 ft wind......SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 W 9 W 9 NW 9 20 ft wind gust.13 13 14 15 15 16 Mix hgt (ft)....7200 600 600 600 500 500 Transport wind..SW 8 S 8 SW 10 W 12 W 13 NW 12 Vrate kt-ft/1K..50 4 6 6 6 6 Ventrate Cat....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........18 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 13300 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph shifting to the north 6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (80100 knot-ft) . TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........8 0 26 67 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 20 Temp............68 74 82 84 RH..............31 25 18 19 20 FT wind......NW 8G16 NW 5G10 N 5G12 E 5G12 Mix hgt (ft)....500 4300 12900 13300 Transport wind..W 12 W 8 N 7 N 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 30 77 80 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 6 mph. .WEDNESDAY... Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 6 mph. .THURSDAY... Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest winds around 6 mph. $$ Forecaster...BROWN Requested by...Sean Donaldson Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620239.1/EPZ .DELDT 08/23/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL sean.donaldson@usda.gov