FXUS63 KEAX 181730 AFDEAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1230 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and thunderstorms continue across the region this morning, with locally moderate to heavy rainfall possible. - Severe thunderstorms are likely late afternoon into late tonight. - Far NW Missouri and NE Kansas will be under the greatest threat for all severe hazards by late afternoon and early evening. - Storms should congeal into a line of thunderstorms by this evening, and move east southeast through the region late tonight. Once this occurs, damaging wind gusts should become the primary hazard, but a few brief tornadoes may be possible. - Moderate to heavy rain will be possible again with the storms tonight. A flood watch is in effect through almost the entire CWA through 7 AM Tuesday. - Cooler temperatures arrive for Tuesday through Thursday before heating up once more by this weekend. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1210 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Scattered showers and thunderstorms have nearly cleared our forecast area moving into central MO. SSE winds will increase with gusts up to 30 knots by early afternoon, continuing through early evening hours. A line of severe thunderstorms will impact STJ between roughly 00z and 03z tonight, moving through the KC metro terminals likely between 02z and 05z tonight. Severe wind gusts will be possible along the leading edge of the severe thunderstorm line, with periods of moderate to heavy rain reducing VIS significantly. Stratiform rain with isolated lightning strikes will linger behind the main convective line into early tomorrow morning. There is a potential (30-50%) terminals will see reduced VIS around 4SM and BR between 10z and 14z. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for MOZ001>007-011>016- 020>024-028>032-037>040-043>046-053-054. KS...Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for KSZ025-057-060-102>105. && $$ AVIATION...WFO EAX