FXUS63 KDDC 150457
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1157 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight, then be
  confined to central Kansas tomorrow morning 

- Lows in the 30s are expected Saturday morning with some areas
  reaching freezing or lower across far western Kansas Saturday
  morning

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 130 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight as another 
disturbance is expected to move through the area. Being on the cool 
side of this system, no severe weather is expected. Precipitation 
comes to an end from west to east after midnight and be confined to 
central Kansas Thursday morning. The current NBM model run depicts a 
half of an inch to three quarters of an inch of precipitation by 
tomorrow afternoon. Mostly cloudy skies are expected through 
tomorrow morning with clearing in the afternoon. The reminder of the 
forecast looks dry as upper level ridging builds across the western 
United States with high pressure being the dominate feature at the 
surface. Winds will be from the north through Friday, shifting to 
the south this weekend into the beginning of next week. As for 
temperatures, expect highs to only reach into the 50s this afternoon 
due to the copious amounts of cloudiness and drizzle/rain. Highs 
tomorrow look to range from the upper 50s across our northern zones 
to upper 60s along the KS/OK border. If clouds remain longer than 
expected, highs may be lower than expected. Friday looks to be the 
coldest day of the forecast with highs in the 50s. We then rebound 
into the 60s Saturday with 70s returning Sunday into the first part 
of next week. Lows will dip into the mid 40s to upper 50s tonight 
with upper 30s tomorrow night. Lows around 30 degrees to low 30s are 
then expected Saturday morning. A freeze watch may be needed across 
far western Kansas in the future to account for freezing 
temperatures. Lows then rebound into the 40s by the beginning of 
next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

LIFR conditions will begin the TAF period at all sites given low
CIGs and occasional spotty dense fog. CIGs will remain in LIFR 
through 15-17z Thursday, improving to IFR 17-19z, and MVFR 
19-22z. Fog will dissipate completely through 13-17z this 
morning. Conditions will gradually improve from southwest to 
northeast. Spotty rain and isolated thunderstorms will also 
continue through 15z this morning. Skies clear after 00z Friday.
Regarding wind, expect breezy northwest winds 15-25 knots with 
gusts 30-35 knots. Winds will increase to those levels beginning
15z this morning until a weakening trend after 00z Friday.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Bennett