FZUS51 KBUF 152004 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 404 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-160300- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 404 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TONIGHT...East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Rain likely late this evening. Rain after midnight. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Rain in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A chance of rain in the evening. .SATURDAY...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Becoming mostly sunny. .SATURDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Clear. .SUNDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. .MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. .TUESDAY...Light and variable winds. Partly cloudy. The water temperature off Buffalo is 64 degrees. $$ LOZ030-160300- Lower Niagara River- 404 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TONIGHT...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Rain likely late this evening. Rain after midnight. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Rain in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A chance of rain in the evening. .SATURDAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Mostly sunny. .SATURDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Clear. .SUNDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Clear. .MONDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. .TUESDAY...Light and variable winds. Becoming mainly clear. $$ LEZ040-041-160300- Buffalo to Ripley along Lake Erie- 404 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain late this evening. Rain with a chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west. Rain with a chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming north. Rain likely in the evening, then a chance of rain overnight. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. .SATURDAY...North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 15 knots. Becoming mostly sunny. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. .SATURDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .SUNDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .TUESDAY...Southwest winds less than 10 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LOZ042-160300- Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario- 404 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Rain likely late this evening. Rain after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots. Rain in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds to 30 knots becoming north 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. .SATURDAY...North winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. .SATURDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. .SUNDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. .TUESDAY...West winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. $$ LOZ043-044-160300- Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario including Irondequoit Bay- 404 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain late this evening. Rain after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds to 30 knots becoming north. A chance of rain in the evening. Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .SATURDAY...North winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Becoming mostly sunny. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. .SATURDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .SUNDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .MONDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 10 knots or less. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. .TUESDAY...West winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off Rochester is 62 degrees, the water temperature at the central lake buoy is 58 degrees, and the water temperature off Oswego is 61 degrees. $$ LOZ045-160300- Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario- 404 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Rain after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds to 30 knots becoming west. Rain. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds to 30 knots becoming north. Mostly cloudy. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .SATURDAY...North winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Mostly sunny. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. .SATURDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .SUNDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet. .MONDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to less than 10 knots. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less. .TUESDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off Cape Vincent is 58 degrees. $$