FNUS51 KBUF 160205
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1005 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire weather concerns are expected.

NYZ201-160800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1005 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100           80           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       43           69           30           48
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           71          100           38
AM Wind (mph)                             S 13 G30                  N 10 G23
PM Wind (mph)                    E  5     W 13 G35    NW 11 G23    NW  9 G20
Precip Amount                    0.29         0.41         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                     5            9            2             
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing             
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         5 AM             
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            400         3170          550         6200
Transport Wind (kts)             E  8         W 23        NW 18        NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                3200        72910         9900        99200
Dispersion Index                    2           93            9          107
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-160800-
Southern Tier-
1005 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90           80           60            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       50           69           31           46
Max/Min Humidity (%)               99           68          100           34
AM Wind (mph)                            SW 13 G26                  N 11 G23
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  6     W 11 G27    NW 11 G22    NW  9 G21
Precip Amount                    0.13         0.28         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            8            4             
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing             
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         5 AM             
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            390         3210          470         5530
Transport Wind (kts)            SE  8         W 23         N 16         N 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                3120        73830         7520       105070
Dispersion Index                    2           95            7          115
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. 

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph. 
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph. 
WIND MONDAY...Southeast around 5 mph. 
WIND TUESDAY...Light winds. 
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 5 mph. 
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 5 mph. 

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$