FNUS53 KAPX 221616 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1216 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 ...Gusty northwest winds and cooler for Sunday... .DISCUSSION...Early fall-like airmass descending across northern Michigan to end this weekend. While the most significant rain tied to this changing airmass will exit early this evening, a few spotty much lighter showers are possible at times tonight into Sunday. Winds turn northwest and become gusty, with peak winds expected on Sunday...when wind gusts in excess of 25 mph are likely. Sharply cooler as well on Sunday, which will help keep relative humidity values fairly elevated. Temperatures begin to warm heading into Monday and Tuesday, with highs again reaching the 70s to lower lower 80s on Tuesday. Rain-free weather expected as well. Low level moisture will more aggressively mix out Monday and Tuesday, with relative humidity values across parts of northeast lower Michigan likely dropping below 40 percent by Tuesday afternoon. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-230815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 1216 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered thunderstorms until 2400. Isolated rain showers. Min Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (65). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . Chance of Thunder...26 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (731). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . Chance of Thunder...11 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 78-83 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (58). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...9 percent. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (810). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...3 percent. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-230815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 1216 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 2400Isolated rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (73). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.28 in. Chance of Thunder...35 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....69-74...except 60-65 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (825). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . Chance of Thunder...12 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered rain showers. Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (72). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...14 percent. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (997). Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...5 percent. $$ MIZ020-025>027-230815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 1216 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Scattered thunderstorms until 2400. Isolated rain showers. Min Temperature.....51-56...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (75). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...26 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (810). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . Chance of Thunder...7 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....48-53...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (51). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...1 percent. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (622). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ031>033-230815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 1216 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Isolated rain showers. Min Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (57). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....67-72. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (811). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . Chance of Thunder...6 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (34). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (663). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-230815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 1216 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Isolated rain showers. Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (59). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200, then scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (824). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in . Chance of Thunder...9 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....48-53. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (44). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...9 percent. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....74-79. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (901). Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...3 percent. $$ .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MSB