FNUS53 KAPX 181930 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 330 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 ...Additional Storm Chances Tuesday, Drier Mid Week... .DISCUSSION... Showers and thunderstorms will remain through this evening before largely lessening through the overnight. Another good wetting rain will continue to limit fire concerns in the near term. Another round of showers and storms will be possible on Tuesday, a few of which may be strong. Winds will continue to be gusty from the southwest with gusts 25 to 35 mph. It will remain moist on Tuesday with min RHs in the 50 to 60 percent range. Much cooler and drier mid week, with RHs dropping into the 30s and possibly lower. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-190830- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 330 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near the coast. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (49). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . Chance of Thunder...24 percent. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....77-82...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (837). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Numerous rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....34-39. 24 HR Trend......26 degrees cooler...except 18 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........74-79 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 24 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (143). Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...15 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Max Temperature.....49-54...except 41-46 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......28 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (779). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-190830- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 330 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400, then isolated showers and thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (53). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.22 in. Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....78-83...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........50-55 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (852). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . Chance of Thunder...24 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........73-78 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (173). Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...16 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....55-60...except 39-44 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......32 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (806). Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ020-025>027-190830- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 330 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (64). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.18 in. Chance of Thunder...27 percent. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....74-79...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........56-61 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (752). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in. Chance of Thunder...23 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....36-41. 24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........74-79 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (100). Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...15 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....48-53...except 41-46 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......27 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........39-44 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (612). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ031>033-190830- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 330 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (68). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.18 in. Chance of Thunder...28 percent. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....75-80...except 68-73 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........56-61 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (745). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.11 in. Chance of Thunder...21 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Numerous rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....37-42. 24 HR Trend......24 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........75-80 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (131). Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...15 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......24 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......18 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (664). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-190830- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 330 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then isolated showers and thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (64). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.19 in. Chance of Thunder...26 percent. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....78-83. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........53-58 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (909). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . Chance of Thunder...26 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......24 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........74-79 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (159). Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . Chance of Thunder...17 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......26 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (735). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...1 percent. $$ .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ JLD