FNUS53 KAPX 151835 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ...Widespread rainfall spreads tonight through Friday... DISCUSSION...Low pressure pushes rainfall across Northern Michigan this afternoon through Friday. Widespread steady rainfall will persist through this evening followed by more scattered showers developing Friday accompanied by strong north winds gusting around 30 knots. Rainfall totals for Northern Michigan will vary, with most areas observing between 0.50 to 0.75”, but locally higher amounts of over an inch are expected. High pressure returns rain free conditions and cooler temperatures this weekend (highs in the 50s) with breezy winds persisting into early next week. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-160815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....39-44...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (45). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.55- 0.84 in. Chance of Thunder...3 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....50-55. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 41 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (847). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.16 in. Chance of Thunder...6 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....29-34...except 38-43 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 70-75 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 18 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 45 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (55). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in . Chance of Thunder...2 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 43-48 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......30 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (723). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph increasing to around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-160815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....40-45...except 48-53 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (49). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.52- 0.84 in. Chance of Thunder...5 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....52-57...except 43-48 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........63-68 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (807). Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in. Chance of Thunder...4 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....26-31...except 35-40 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 68-73 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 40 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (80). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...2 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........31-36 percent. 24 HR Trend......39 percent drier...except 34 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (749). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ020-025>027-160815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....39-44...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the north after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (52). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph shifting to the northeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.55- 0.69 in. Chance of Thunder...5 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........65-70 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 41 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (904). Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph increasing to around 30 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.20 in. Chance of Thunder...9 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....30-35...except 42-47 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 45 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (98). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . Chance of Thunder...8 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......38 percent drier...except 24 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (593). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 9 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ031>033-160815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain until 2400, then rain likely. Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the north after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (48). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph shifting to the northeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.51- 0.72 in. Chance of Thunder...6 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........66-71 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (896). Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.19 in. Chance of Thunder...8 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....30-35. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 74-79 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (35). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 24 mph decreasing to around 12 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . Chance of Thunder...8 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 46-51 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......38 percent drier...except 24 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Vent Rate...........Good (545). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-160815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain until 2400, then rain likely. Min Temperature.....41-46. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (30). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.49- 0.78 in. Chance of Thunder...6 percent. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........61-66 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 27 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (850). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . Chance of Thunder...3 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Min Temperature.....25-30. 24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (36). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . Chance of Thunder...0 percent. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........32-37 percent. 24 HR Trend......37 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Vent Rate...........Excellent (680). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. Chance of Thunder...0 percent. $$ .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SJC