085 

ACUS11 KWNS 240003

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 240002 

PAZ000-OHZ000-240130-



Mesoscale Discussion 2108

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0702 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026



Areas affected...Parts of northeastern Ohio and northwestern

Pennsylvania



Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 



Valid 240002Z - 240130Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent



SUMMARY...A couple strong to locally damaging wind gusts will be

possible during the next hour or two.



DISCUSSION...A loosely organized band of thunderstorms is tracking

southeastward across Lake Erie -- ahead of a midlevel vort max

rotating around a deep upper low over southeastern Ontario. While

cool surface temperatures downstream may limit the overall severe

risk, steepened low-level lapse rates, enhanced unidirectional

low/midlevel flow, and the strengthening cold pool may support a

couple strong to locally damaging wind gusts across parts of

northeastern OH and northwestern PA.



..Weinman/Thompson.. 08/24/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...



LAT...LON   41398201 41658179 41958092 42118001 42007978 41827965

            41527981 41158076 41038165 41208196 41398201 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN