370 

ACUS03 KWNS 161923

SWODY3

SPC AC 161922



Day 3 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0222 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026



Valid 181200Z - 191200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Severe thunderstorms are not expected Sunday.



...Synopsis...

A front will stall in the vicinity of south FL and provide a focus

for thunderstorm development in a moist environment with PW values

in excess of 2 inches.  Across AZ/NM, a midlevel trough will eject

northeastward in advance of height falls over the Pacific Northwest

coast late in the period.  Midlevel lapse rates, moisture and ascent

could be sufficiently deep for charge separation and isolated

lightning flashes with weak midlevel convection.



..Thompson.. 10/16/2026



$$