516 

ACUS01 KWNS 170516

SWODY1

SPC AC 170514



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1214 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026



Valid 171200Z - 181200Z



...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...



...SUMMARY...

Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.



...Synopsis...

In the wake of a cold frontal passage, much of the CONUS will be too

dry and stable for thunderstorm development today. The front will

continue moving southward along the central/southern FL Peninsula,

where scattered storm development will be possible within a very

moist environment. Poor lapse rates and weak deep-layer shear should

limit organized severe potential, though localized strong gusts may

occur. Across the Southwest, sporadic lightning flashes may

accompany weak convection associated with a slow-moving mid/upper

low centered offshore of Baja California.



..Dean/Chalmers.. 10/17/2026



$$