452 

FGUS54 KTUA 160652

RVFOUN



RIVER FORECAST

NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK

150 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026



THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER

FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS

WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.



: FORECAST GROUP IS Keystone Inflow

:

: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.

:

:*******************************************************************

:GUTHRIE, OK - COTTONWOOD CREEK

:ZERO DATUM 901.73 FT (NGVD29)

:ACTION STAGE     20.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      22.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE   25.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      27.0 FT

:

:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS ** ESTIMATED **

:AT 21.6 FT AT 100 AM CDT ON OCT 16

.AR :CREST: GUCO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/HGIFFXZ 21.6

:

.ER GUCO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 1016 : /  21.6 /  20.4 /  18.9 /  16.9 

.E2    : 1017 : /  14.5 /  10.1 /   6.1 /   3.9 

.E3    : 1018 : /   2.8 /   2.3 /   2.1 /   1.8 

.E4    : 1019 : /   1.4 /   1.1 /   1.0 /   0.8 

.E5    : 1020 : /   0.8 /   0.7 /   0.6 /   0.3 

.ER GUCO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/PPQFZ/DIH6

:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 1016 : /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 

.AR GUCO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:Upstream gauge SWDO2 just crested.

:Near crest or cresting.

:*******************************************************************

:GUTHRIE, OK - CIMARRON RIVER

:ZERO DATUM 891.5 FT (NGVD29)

:ACTION STAGE     16.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      18.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE   22.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      25.0 FT

:

:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 16.3 FT AT 1230 AM CDT ON OCT 16

:

.ER GTRO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 1016 : /  15.6 /  15.0 /  14.2 /  13.0 

.E2    : 1017 : /  11.5 /  10.2 /   9.1 /   8.1 

.E3    : 1018 : /   7.3 /   6.8 /   6.5 /   6.4 

.E4    : 1019 : /   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.2 /   6.2 

.E5    : 1020 : /   6.2 /   6.2 /   6.2 /   6.2 

.ER GTRO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/PPQFZ/DIH6

:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 1016 : /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 

.AR GTRO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:This will be the last forecast for this event.

:Crested.

:*******************************************************************

:RIPLEY, OK - CIMARRON RIVER

:ZERO DATUM 795.86 FT (NGVD29)

:ACTION STAGE     16.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      17.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE   20.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      22.0 FT

:

:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 15.6 FT AT 100 AM CDT ON OCT 16

.AR :CREST: RIPO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH13/HGIFFXZ 17.8

:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4AM CDT ON 10/17/2026

:

.ER RIPO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 1016 : /  17.0 /  17.8 /  17.6 /  17.1 

.E2    : 1017 : /  16.4 /  15.2 /  14.2 /  12.8 

.E3    : 1018 : /  11.5 /  10.3 /   9.2 /   8.4 

.E4    : 1019 : /   8.1 /   7.8 /   7.5 /   7.3 

.E5    : 1020 : /   7.1 /   6.9 /   6.4 /   6.2 

.ER RIPO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/PPQFZ/DIH6

:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 1016 : /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 

.AR RIPO2 1016 C DC202610160150/DH07/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:*******************************************************************

:

.AR TUA 1016 C DT202610160650/YIIRZ  31 : kle

:

$$

:

:River forecasts with zero forecast rainfall and other contingencies

:available at https://www.weather.gov/source/abrfc/RawModel/index.html

:

:...END of MESSAGE...