192 

FGUS53 KMSR 151251

RVFGND



RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER; CHANHASSEN MN

751 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2026



: THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL RIVER

: FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS

: WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.

:

: FORECAST GROUP IS GND 

:

: FORECASTS INCLUDE 48-HOURS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION (QPF) IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS

:

:************************************************************

:GRAND RIVER, GDRM4    

:GRAND RAPIDS, MI - GRR

:

:ACTION STAGE      12.0 FT	MINOR STAGE       18.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE    21.0 FT	MAJOR STAGE       23.0 FT

:

:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 1.6 FT AT 1200 Z ON OCT 15

.ER GDRM4 1015 Z DC202610151251/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z

.E1    : 1015 :           /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 

.E2    : 1016 :   /   1.8 /   2.0 /   2.1 /   2.1 

.E3    : 1017 :   /   2.0 /   1.9 /   1.8 /   1.8 

.E4    : 1018 :   /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 

.E5    : 1019 :   /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 

.E6    : 1020 :   /   1.8 /   1.7 /   1.7 /   1.7 

.E7    : 1021 :   /   1.7 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 

.E8    : 1022 :   /   1.6 

:

: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE

: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM 

: WATERSHEDS***

:

:	QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z  

:	 1015 	           /  0.00 /  0.26 /  0.35 

:	 1016 	   /  0.03 /  0.06 /  0.02 /  0.01 

:	 1017 	   /  0.00 

:

: 48-hr QPF Total Ending on Oct 17 is 0.73 inches

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:

:************************************************************

:MUSKEGON RIVER, EVRM4    

:EVART, MI - GRR

:

:ACTION STAGE      10.0 FT	MINOR STAGE       12.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE    13.0 FT	MAJOR STAGE       14.0 FT

:

:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 7.0 FT AT 1215 Z ON OCT 15

.ER EVRM4 1015 Z DC202610151251/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z

.E1    : 1015 :           /   7.0 /   7.0 /   7.0 

.E2    : 1016 :   /   7.1 /   7.2 /   7.3 /   7.3 

.E3    : 1017 :   /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.5 

.E4    : 1018 :   /   7.5 /   7.5 /   7.5 /   7.5 

.E5    : 1019 :   /   7.5 /   7.5 /   7.5 /   7.5 

.E6    : 1020 :   /   7.5 /   7.5 /   7.5 /   7.5 

.E7    : 1021 :   /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 

.E8    : 1022 :   /   7.3 

:

: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE

: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM 

: WATERSHEDS***

:

:	QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z  

:	 1015 	           /  0.00 /  0.34 /  0.58 

:	 1016 	   /  0.05 /  0.10 /  0.02 /  0.00 

:	 1017 	   /  0.00 

:

: 48-hr QPF Total Ending on Oct 17 is 1.09 inches

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:

:************************************************************

:LITTLE MUSKEGON RIVER, OKGM4    

:CROTON 3E (OAK GROVE), MI - GRR

:

:ACTION FLOW 2800.0 KCFS      MINOR FLOW {Missing}

:MODERATE FLOW {Missing}    MAJOR FLOW {Missing}

:

:THE FLOW WAS 0.17 KCFS AT 1145 Z ON OCT 15

.ER OKGM4 1015 Z DC202610151251/DH18/QIIFF/DIH6

:FLOW FORECAST    /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z

.E1    : 1015 :           /  0.17 /  0.17 /  0.19 

.E2    : 1016 :   /  0.20 /  0.21 /  0.22 /  0.24 

.E3    : 1017 :   /  0.25 /  0.25 /  0.24 /  0.23 

.E4    : 1018 :   /  0.22 /  0.21 /  0.20 /  0.19 

.E5    : 1019 :   /  0.19 /  0.18 /  0.17 /  0.16 

.E6    : 1020 :   /  0.16 /  0.16 /  0.15 /  0.15 

.E7    : 1021 :   /  0.15 /  0.15 /  0.15 /  0.15 

.E8    : 1022 :   /  0.15 

:

: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE

: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM 

: WATERSHEDS***

:

:	QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z  

:	 1015 	           /  0.00 /  0.32 /  0.42 

:	 1016 	   /  0.02 /  0.04 /  0.02 /  0.01 

:	 1017 	   /  0.00 

:

: 48-hr QPF Total Ending on Oct 17 is 0.83 inches

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:

:

:*******************************************************************

:

$$

:

FCSTR EXT: 2539

:

:...END of MESSAGE...






227 

FGUS53 KMSR 151252

RVFNLM



RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER; CHANHASSEN MN

751 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2026



: THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL RIVER

: FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS

: WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.

:

: FORECAST GROUP IS NLM 

:

: FORECASTS INCLUDE 48-HOURS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION (QPF) IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS

:

:************************************************************

:AU SABLE RIVER, RDOM4    

:RED OAK 3S, MI - APX

:

:ACTION STAGE       6.0 FT	MINOR STAGE        7.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE     8.0 FT	MAJOR STAGE        9.0 FT

:

:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 3.3 FT AT 1215 Z ON OCT 15

.ER RDOM4 1015 Z DC202610151251/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z

.E1    : 1015 :           /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3 

.E2    : 1016 :   /   3.3 /   3.4 /   3.5 /   3.7 

.E3    : 1017 :   /   3.8 /   3.9 /   4.0 /   4.1 

.E4    : 1018 :   /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.0 /   4.0 

.E5    : 1019 :   /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.8 

.E6    : 1020 :   /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.6 

.E7    : 1021 :   /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 

.E8    : 1022 :   /   3.5 

:

: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE

: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM 

: WATERSHEDS***

:

:	QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z  

:	 1015 	           /  0.00 /  0.19 /  0.64 

:	 1016 	   /  0.12 /  0.07 /  0.03 /  0.00 

:	 1017 	   /  0.00 

:

: 48-hr QPF Total Ending on Oct 17 is 1.05 inches

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:

:************************************************************

:MANISTEE RIVER, SHRM4    

:SHERMAN 1N, MI - APX

:

:ACTION STAGE      14.0 FT	MINOR STAGE       15.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE    16.0 FT	MAJOR STAGE       17.0 FT

:

:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 12.2 FT AT 1215 Z ON OCT 15

.ER SHRM4 1015 Z DC202610151251/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z

.E1    : 1015 :           /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.4 

.E2    : 1016 :   /  12.6 /  12.8 /  13.0 /  13.0 

.E3    : 1017 :   /  13.0 /  13.0 /  13.0 /  12.9 

.E4    : 1018 :   /  12.9 /  12.9 /  12.9 /  12.9 

.E5    : 1019 :   /  12.8 /  12.8 /  12.8 /  12.7 

.E6    : 1020 :   /  12.7 /  12.6 /  12.6 /  12.6 

.E7    : 1021 :   /  12.5 /  12.5 /  12.5 /  12.5 

.E8    : 1022 :   /  12.5 

:

: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE

: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM 

: WATERSHEDS***

:

:	QPF (IN)   /  12Z  /  18Z  /  00Z  /  06Z  

:	 1015 	           /  0.00 /  0.33 /  0.58 

:	 1016 	   /  0.07 /  0.15 /  0.05 /  0.01 

:	 1017 	   /  0.00 

:

: 48-hr QPF Total Ending on Oct 17 is 1.19 inches

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:

:

:*******************************************************************

:

$$

:

FCSTR EXT: 2539

:

:...END of MESSAGE...






399 

FGUS51 KTIR 151256

RVFLOM



River Forecast

NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington OH

856 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026



This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.

Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.

Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:

http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs





:

:************************************************************

: Ohio River - Smithland Lock & Dam, IL - PAH

:

: Action Flow         {Missing}

: Flood Flow          {Missing}

: Moderate Flood Flow {Missing}

: Major Flood Flow    {Missing}

:

:Latest Observed Value - 142.0 KCFS at 700 AM Z on Oct 15 

:

: Model Simulated Inflows

.ER SMLI2 20261010 Z DC202610151256/DH18/QTIPZ/DIH6

:Simu Valid       /   18Z /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z 

.E1    : 1010 :   /  68.4 /  56.3 /  43.0 /  34.0 

.E2    : 1011 :   /  34.1 /  37.0 /  40.1 /  46.1 

.E3    : 1012 :   /  52.2 /  63.9 /  63.9 /  76.3 

.E4    : 1013 :   / 111.0 / 115.0 / 109.0 / 121.0 

.E5    : 1014 :   / 127.0 / 138.0 / 142.0 / 142.0 

:



:Crest near 117.9 KCFS around 2PM EDT on Tue, Oct 20

.ER SMLI2 20261015 Z DC202610151256/DH18/QTIFFZZ/DIH6

:FLOW FCST        /   12Z /   18Z /   00Z /   06Z 

.E1    : 1015 :           / 141.1 / 142.1 / 142.7 

.E2    : 1016 :   / 142.2 / 139.3 / 134.6 / 128.9 

.E3    : 1017 :   / 123.3 / 117.1 / 111.7 / 109.9 

.E4    : 1018 :   / 109.4 / 110.1 / 111.5 / 113.5 

.E5    : 1019 :   / 115.3 / 115.7 / 116.4 / 117.3 

.E6    : 1020 :   / 117.8 / 117.9 / 117.0 / 113.5 

.E7    : 1021 :   / 110.3 / 107.5 / 104.6 / 101.4 

.E8    : 1022 :   /  97.9 /  94.3 /  90.6 /  86.9 

.E9    : 1023 :   /  83.4 /  80.0 /  76.7 /  73.4 

.E10   : 1024 :   /  70.4 /  67.7 /  65.4 /  63.4 

.E11   : 1025 :   /  61.8 /  60.5 /  59.6 /  58.8 

.E12   : 1026 :   /  58.1 /  57.3 /  56.4 /  55.4 

.E13   : 1027 :   /  54.5 /  53.5 /  52.7 /  51.9 

.E14   : 1028 :   /  51.1 /  50.4 /  49.7 /  49.0 

.E15   : 1029 :   /  48.4 /  48.0 /  47.6 /  47.3 

.E16   : 1030 :   /  47.1 /  46.8 /  46.6 /  46.3 

.E17   : 1031 :   /  45.9 /  45.6 /  45.3 /  45.3 

.E18   : 1101 :   /  45.5 /  45.8 /  45.8 /  45.5 

.E19   : 1102 :   /  44.8 /  44.0 /  43.3 /  42.8 

.E20   : 1103 :   /  42.4 /  42.2 /  42.1 /  42.0 

.E21   : 1104 :   /  42.0 /  42.0 /  41.9 /  41.9 

.E22   : 1105 :   /  41.9 /  41.8 /  41.8 /  41.7 

.E23   : 1106 :   /  41.7 /  41.7 /  41.7 /  41.7 

.E24   : 1107 :   /  41.6 /  41.6 /  41.4 /  41.3 

.E25   : 1108 :   /  41.2 /  41.1 /  41.0 /  40.8 

.E26   : 1109 :   /  40.6 /  40.2 /  39.5 /  38.7 

.E27   : 1110 :   /  38.0 /  37.5 /  37.2 /  37.0 

.E28   : 1111 :   /  36.9 /  36.8 /  36.8 /  36.7 

.E29   : 1112 :   /  36.7 

:





:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

: 

:

:...END of MESSAGE...