405 FLUS44 KTSA 151801 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 101 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071- 073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-161815- Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford- Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford- Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha- Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers- Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage- Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage- Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage- Southern Le Flore- 101 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...This evening. DISCUSSION... A strong cold front will move into eastern Oklahoma late this afternoon and move quickly east across the region this evening. Strong winds will follow the cold front with frequent gusts of 25 to 35 mph during the overnight hours. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop along the front. There is a very low chance that one or two storms could become strong with gusty winds or small hail before the activity moves east into central and southwest Arkansas. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...High Wind Potential. SATURDAY through WEDNESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... | Strong winds will continue on Friday with gusts of 25 to 40 mph through the day along with noticeably cooler temperatures. Cool and dry weather will continue through the weekend with a warming trend next week. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$  646 FLUS41 KBGM 151806 HWOBGM Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Binghamton NY 206 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043- 044-047-048-072-161815- Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango- Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- 206 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$  707 FLUS41 KBGM 151807 HWOBGM Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Binghamton NY 207 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055-161815- Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango- Otsego-Tioga- 207 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ NYZ056-057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-161815- Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming- Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- 207 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Potential for some stronger winds in thunderstorms along the cold front passage Friday afternoon and evening. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$  659 FLUS43 KSGF 151822 HWOSGF Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 122 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161830- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 122 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Limited lightning risk. Limited non thunderstorm wind risk. DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms (30-60%) with a frontal passage through this evening and tonight. Additional rainfall amounts around a few tenths of an inch. Expect gusty northerly winds of 25 to 35 mph behind the frontal passage through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Expect gusty northerly winds of 25 to 35 mph to persist behind the frontal passage through Friday evening. Increasing confidence in patchy frost, and perhaps a freeze, Saturday and Sunday mornings as lows dip into the 30s. The highest confidence is on Sunday morning across portions of the eastern Ozarks. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf $$ Perez  229 FLUS43 KGID 151830 HWOGID Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Hastings NE 130 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 161830- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 130 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Beginning late this afternoon and continuing through tonight, some areas mainly north of the Tri-Cities area in Nebraska may have wind gusts up to around 40 to 45 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Portions of the area Friday morning may have wind gusts up to around 40 to 45 MPH. Friday night into Saturday morning, our entire area will likely experience its first frost development and possibly freezing temperatures of the season, with temperatures expected to drop to around 28-32 degrees. A Freeze Watch is in effect Friday night into Saturday morning for the whole area. Those who hope to keep sensitive outdoor vegetation and/or outdoor irrigation systems from being damaged are encouraged to take precautions. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings $$  405 FLUS44 KMRX 151831 HWOMRX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Morristown TN 231 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002- 005-006-008-161845- Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins- Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen- Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene- Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter- Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount- Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains- Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe- Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee- Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA- 231 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 /131 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not needed at this time. $$  825 FLUS42 KFFC 151835 HWOFFC Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-161845- Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa- Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta- Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel- Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene- Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson- Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon- Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray- Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach- Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton- Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs- Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren- Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes- Wilkinson- 235 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. $$  860 FLUS43 KPAH 151836 HWOPAH Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 136 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-161200- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 136 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 /236 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected today. A few storms may be severe mainly along and north of Interstate 64 in Illinois and Indiana. Damaging wind and an isolated tornado are the main hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Sharply colder conditions follow behind a cold front moving through Friday night. The probability of at least some frost is increasing Saturday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed in parts of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana. $$  463 FLUS43 KICT 151846 HWOICT Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wichita KS 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-161900- Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase- Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper- Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette- 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Kansas, east central Kansas, south central Kansas and southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered showers will continue across mainly southeast Kansas this afternoon into the early evening. Additional flooding is not expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The coolest air thus far this fall season will gradually spread south across the region into Friday and persist through the weekend. Forecast low temperatures dipping into the 30s will support frost Friday night into early Saturday across much of the area. A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of central KS where lows near 30 are expected. Those with sensitive plants should take action to protect them from the near-freezing temperatures. Breezy conditions are expected on Friday with sustained winds between 20-25 mph and gusts up to 35 mph. A few showers and thunderstorms may enter back into the forecast by mid to late week. Stay tuned as we refine forecast details in the coming days. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight. && For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict $$  451 FLUS43 KTOP 151846 HWOTOP Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Topeka KS 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 KSZ008>012-020>024-034>036-161900- Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley- Pottawatomie-Jackson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary- 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Temperatures could drop to or just below freezing late Friday night and early Saturday morning. Widespread frost is also likely, possibly impacting crops or other sensitive vegetation. && More detailed information can be found at: www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf $$ KSZ026-037>040-054>056-058-059-161900- Jefferson-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin- Coffey-Anderson- 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Kansas and northeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Widespread frost is likely early Saturday morning, possibly impacting crops or other sensitive vegetation. && More detailed information can be found at: www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf $$  851 FLUS43 KDLH 151857 HWODLH Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Duluth MN 157 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-161900- Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake- North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore- Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass- Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis- Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price- 157 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Near-critical fire weather conditions are possible Saturday and there remains an elevated fire weather risk Sunday due to lower relative humidity and gusty winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Skywarn spotter activation will not be needed this afternoon or tonight. $$ LSZ121-140>148-150-161900- Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN- Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN- Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN- Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN- Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI- Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI- Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland- 157 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday A short period of northerly gales to 40 knots is expected Friday morning. A Gale Warning is in effect. Another round of gusty winds and high waves is expected Saturday morning through Sunday evening. Southwest gales of 35-40 knots are possible Saturday evening through early Sunday afternoon. $$ NLy More information may be obtained at the following web address: http://www.weather.gov/duluth  831 FLUS43 KMKX 151856 HWOMKX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 156 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-161900- Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge- Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee- Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- 156 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Tonight A rumble or two of thunder is possible into this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Thursday There is increasing confidence in a widespread freeze or frost Friday night into early Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. $$ LMZ643>646-161900- Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 156 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois. .DAY ONE...Tonight Small Craft Advisory conditions will continue through tonight. An isolated thunderstorm is possible into this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Thursday Gales are expected Friday into Friday evening. A Gale Warning remains in effect. $$ LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-161900- Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 156 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight An isolated thunderstorm or two is possible through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Thursday Northerly gales are likely across the lake Friday into Friday night. A Gale Warning remains in effect. A few waterspouts are possible in showers and isolated thunderstorms Friday into Friday night. $$ www.weather.gov/mkx