626 FNUS76 KLOX 222003 FWSLOX Spot Forecast for Carrizo Fire...CNTY SBA National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1230 PM PDT Sat Aug 22 2026 If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Hot and dry conditions will continue across the fire area this weekend. The afternoon onshore wind push is expected to arrive at the fire location around 1400 today, and slightly earlier on Sunday. There is a good chance of onshore wind gusts 15 to 20 mph between 1400 and 1800. Due to the deep mixing heights, there will also be the potential for large plume dominated fire growth, with rapid fire spread. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 100. Min humidity........17 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast to east 4 to 7 mph becoming west to northwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 17 mph by 1400. Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming north 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph by 1400. Mixing height.......Rising to 14000 ft AGL in he afternoon. Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after 1400. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Min temperature.....Around 65. Max humidity........50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 13 mph in the evening, becoming east 4 to 8 mph after midnight. Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 15 mph in the evening, becoming east 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Mixing height.......Lowering to 1300 ft AGL late. Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph in the evening becoming east 5 to 10 mph overnight. $$ Forecaster...GOMBERG Requested by...Duty Officer Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620247.0/LOX .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL slu.ecc@fire.ca.gov,rfccdutyofficer@sbcfire.com,sbc.ecc@sbcfire.com,CJh4199@sbsheriff.org,dutyofficer@sbcoem.com  709 FNUS75 KBYZ 222016 FWSBYZ Spot Forecast for Lookout...MT-BDC National Weather Service Billings MT 216 PM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... An area of showers is beginning to lift north into southern Montana and will begin approaching the fire area over the next hour or so. Showers and thunderstorms remain possible through the afternoon and evening, decreasing after 0300 MDT tonight. Thunderstorms will be capable of gusty and erratic winds to 40 mph and heavy rainfall. Breezy southeasterly winds will continue through the afternoon, becoming more southerly this evening. A low level jet sets up over the fire area this evening, shifting to the east overnight. This will bring breezy winds in the evening, before decreasing overnight. Moderate RH recoveries can be expected. Northwest winds will prevail for Sunday as another disturbance moves into the region. An associated cold front will push through during the late afternoon and evening bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms. Strong wind gusts to 60 mph and brief heavy rain are possible Sunday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. CWR.................15 percent. Chance of lightning.25 percent. Max temperature.....84-89. Min humidity........29-35 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 10 to 16 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Southeast 15 to 25 mph. Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 mph. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms through 0300 MDT. CWR.................15 percent. Chance of lightning.25 percent. Min temperature.....62-67. Max humidity........57-62 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the evening, becoming southwest to west 5 to 10 mph after 2400 MDT. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........South 10 to 20 mph in the evening, becoming southwest 6 to 12 mph after 2400 MDT. Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....South to southwest around 15 mph. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Increasing clouds in the afternoon. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent. Chance of lightning.20 percent. Max temperature.....85-90. Min humidity........20-25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Becoming northwest 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Ridgetop...........Becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph. Mixing height.......Increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph. $$ Forecaster...Palmquist Requested by...IC for Lookout Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620202.2/BYZ .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL mtbdc@firenet.gov  918 FNUS75 KBYZ 222022 FWSBYZ Spot Forecast for Windmill...DNRC County Assist Team National Weather Service Billings MT 222 PM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 23. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Mostly clear skies to start the day will become cloudy in the afternoon. Strong to severe thunderstorms are forecast between 1300 and 1800 MDT which could bring erratic wind gusts up to 70 mph and hail, in addition to locally heavy rainfall. A wetting rain is likely if one of the stronger cells goes over the incident site. WMR .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................30 percent. Chance of lightning.30 percent. Max temperature.....85-90. Min humidity........22-26 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......West winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Ridgetop...........West around 25 mph. Mixing height.......Increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West around 25 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Decreasing clouds overnight. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................10 percent. Chance of lightning.20 percent. Min temperature.....56-60. Max humidity........60-64 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Ridgetop...........Northwest around 15 mph. Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. $$ Forecaster...Mckeown-Robbie/Palmquist Requested by...Tom Kohley Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620192.1/BYZ .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL tom_kohley@firenet.gov  205 FNUS75 KBOI 222029 FWSBOI Spot Forecast for CROOKED...USFS National Weather Service Boise ID 229 PM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (208)334-9060, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of an approaching Pacific cold, with the front arriving 6-8 PM MDT this evening. Showers and storms will decrease after 8 PM and should end by 10 PM MDT. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....84 to 91. Min humidity........20 to 25 percent. CWR.................10 percent. Wind - 20 foot......Southwest around 8 mph with gusts to around 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph. Ventilation Index...1500 excellent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 10 PM MDT. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....56 to 61. Max humidity........59 to 64 percent. CWR.................10 percent. Wind - 20 foot......Northwest 3 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 14 mph in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph. Ventilation Index...10 poor. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. Max temperature.....79 to 85. Min humidity........13 to 18 percent. CWR.................0 percent. Wind - 20 foot......West 4 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 16 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph. Ventilation Index...1600 excellent. $$ Forecaster...Colin Requested by...BOISE DISPATCH Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2620056.4/BOI .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL 2026.crooked.plans@firenet.gov  639 FNUS75 KMSO 222034 FWSMSO Spot Forecast for Cherry Peak Fire National Weather Service Missoula MT 234 PM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 MDT on August 23. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY... 209...Hazy, warm, and dry conditions thus far today. Winds have been from the southeast, with gusts of 10-15 mph. Humidity has been in the low-20s. A Red Flag Warning is in effect through 6 AM Sunday for an overnight lightning threat focused Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Elevated fire weather is expected Sunday, following the passage of a cold front. Wind is the main concern Sunday as gusts reach 20-30 mph during the afternoon. Temperatures will trend 10-15F colder than yesterday, with RH trending higher. Southeast winds in the morning will shift to the west-southwest in the afternoon. High pressure rebounds on Monday, bringing a slight warming and dry trend, along with light winds. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Max Temperature.....68-73. * Min Humidity........28-33 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 3-6 mph in the morning becoming west-southwest 10-15 mph in the afternoon with gusts of 20-30 mph. * Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 7000 ft agl in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........West 15 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Min Temperature.....49-54. * Max Humidity........52-57 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 4-7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the evening. * Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in the evening. * Mixing Winds........West 10 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Max Temperature.....73-78. * Min Humidity........23-28 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 3-6 mph. * Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl increasing to 8000 ft agl. * Mixing Winds........West 5 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. $$ Forecaster...Lukinbeal Requested by...Britteny Allestead Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2619977.6/MSO .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL 2026.cherrypeak.plans@firenet.gov,trevor.unsworth@usda.gov,wade.bache@usda.gov,mtmdc@firenet.gov  541 FNUS75 KMSO 222050 FWSMSO Spot Forecast for Moose Mountain National Weather Service Missoula MT 250 PM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Radar returns this afternoon are showing increased convective activity to the west and east of the fire. Expect increased thunderstorm activity through about midnight tonight, with typical storms bringing erratic, gusty outflow winds of 30-40 mph, heavy rain, small hail, and frequent lightning. There will be about a 5% chance for storms to become severe, meaning 50-60 mph gusts and/or damaging hail to about 1 inch in diameter. Tonight will also see poor overnight RH recoveries on midslopes and upper elevations. A cold front will pass on Sunday, bringing westerly wind gusts of around 20 mph in the afternoon. Better mixing on Sunday should improve overnight recoveries. Drier conditions return on Monday as high pressure builds again over the Northern Rockies. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain showers. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent. * Chance Lightning....25 percent. * Min Temperature.....53-58. * Max Humidity........Bottom: 85-90 Top: 45-50 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 6-12 mph in the evening becoming variable 2-4 mph. * Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in the evening. * Mixing Winds........Southwest 5 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.03 inches. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Max Temperature.....71-76. * Min Humidity........Bottom: 40-45 Top: 25-30 * Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5-9 mph becoming west 10-15 with gusts of 20-25 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 5500 ft agl in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........West 10 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Min Temperature.....48-53. * Max Humidity........57-62 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........West 5-10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph in the evening becoming variable 2-4 mph. * Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in the evening. * Mixing Winds........Southwest 5 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Max Temperature.....78-83. * Min Humidity........28-33 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........West 5-10 mph. * Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 7000 ft agl in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........South 5 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. $$ Forecaster...Messina Requested by...Garrett Pitsenbarger Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2618978.19/MSO .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL christopher_samuelson@firenet.gov,jacob.sohr@usda.gov,theodore_peterson@firenet.gov,theodore.peterson@usda.gov,garrett_pitsenbarger@firenet.gov,rilee_nilsson@firenet.gov  642 FNUS75 KGJT 222052 FWSGJT Spot Forecast for SWAMP CANYON...SMSO National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 252 PM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MDT on August 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop around the area through the rest of the afternoon into the evening hours. Storms will be capable of heavy rainfall rates, gusty outflow winds to 40 mph and frequent lightning. Storms become more isolated after sunset but a few could continue into the overnight hours. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Max temperature.....65-70. Min humidity........44-49 percent. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Chance of thunder...50 percent. Max apparent temp...64. Surface winds.......West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. CWR.................60 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Min temperature.....47-52. Max humidity........67-72 percent. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Chance of thunder...20 percent. Max apparent temp...64. Surface winds.......West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the early evening, shifting to the southeast 8 to 12 mph and becoming downslope/downvalley overnight. CWR.................10 percent. $$ Forecaster...Matt Aleksa Requested by...D1 RECTOR Type of request...SAR .TAG 2620249.0/GJT .DELDT 08/22/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL CCS@SANMIGUELSHERIFF.ORG