170 FNUS76 KLOX 182304 FWSLOX Spot Forecast for Santa Rosa Island Fire...NPS National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 404 PM PDT Mon May 18 2026 If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Winds are on track back to be slightly weaker Tuesday compared to Monday, but increasing northwest winds will be common in the afternoon and evening hours. Confidence in wind speeds is lower Wednesday afternoon, as stronger winds are forecast to be strongest after 6pm. However, winds gusting to 20 mph may begin as early as 3pm. Min RH may recover 90-100% overnight. Clear skies are expected, but there is a 15% chance for low clouds Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, especially for the southeast portion of the island. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....78-82. Min humidity........25-35 percent. Eye level winds.....Southeast 2-4 mph with gusts to 6 mph shifting to northwest 4-6 mph with gusts to 9 mph by late afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5-8 mph with gusts to 12 mph shifting to northwest 8-12 mph with gusts to 18 mph by late afternoon. Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 8-12 mph with gusts to 18 mph shifting to northwest 14-18 mph with gusts to 25 mph by late afternoon. Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft AGL becoming 2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 8-12 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Min temperature.....Around 58-62. Max humidity........80-90 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest 6-8 mph with gusts to 11 mph, decreasing to 2-4 mph with gusts to 6 mph after 2am. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 12-16 mph with gusts to 22 mph, decreasing to 6-9 mph with gusts to 12 mph after 2am. Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 15-20 mph with gusts to 28 mph, decreasing to 8-12 mph with gusts to 18 mph after 2am. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL becoming 1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 15-20 mph in the evening shifting east 6-12 mph. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....76-80. Min humidity........30-40 percent. Eye level winds.....Southeast 2-4 mph with gusts to 6 mph shifting to northwest 3-5 mph with gusts to 7 mph by late afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5-8 mph with gusts to 12 mph shifting to northwest 7-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph by late afternoon. Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 7-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph shifting to northwest 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph by late afternoon. Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft AGL becoming 1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 8-12 mph shifting northwest 10-15 mph. $$ Forecaster...LEWIS Requested by...David Hood (SITL/GISS) Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2613926.0/LOX .DELDT 05/18/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL david_hood@firenet.gov  196 FNUS72 KMLB 182317 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for JDSP near entrance...Florida Park Service National Weather Service Melbourne FL 717 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 EDT on May 18. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Not sure if you burned today given the shower activity. I moved up your followup SPOT request to 8 pm. It was originally scheduled for midnight tonight. The prospect for fog is very low as continued easterly flow will keep boundary layer well mixed with Fair nighttime dispersion. There is a chance for additional showers and even some lightning pushing onshore the coast this evening and overnight. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of showers early in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through the night. Slight chance of showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 77. Max humidity........82 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 13 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 16 to 20 mph. Dispersion index....14. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........38 32 32 31 30 30 30 30 30 30 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 Temp............79 79 79 80 79 79 78 78 78 78 RH..............82 82 82 79 79 79 82 82 82 82 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 14 20 FT wind gust.22 22 23 23 22 21 20 20 20 20 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.18 20 20 20 20 18 17 17 16 16 Dispersion idx..15 16 16 16 15 14 14 13 13 12 LVORI...........4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........68 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 13 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....East 15 to 17 mph. Dispersion index....13 increasing to 49. LVORI...............4 decreasing to 3 late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........34 34 30 30 31 31 32 33 31 30 30 30 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 Temp............79 79 80 83 84 84 85 85 85 86 84 84 RH..............79 79 79 77 74 72 70 70 70 68 72 72 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 1414 13 20 FT wind gust.20 20 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.2 2.6 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.16 15 16 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 16 Dispersion idx..12 13 33 50 50 51 49 49 49 49 48 47 LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 $$ Forecaster...Kelly Requested by...Rob Rossmanith Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2613878.1/MLB .DELDT 05/18/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL robin.rossmanith@floridadep.gov  550 FNUS73 KDDC 182339 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST for Herman Ranch Fire...Kansas Forest Service National Weather Service DODGE CITY KS 639 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on May 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact us via NWS Chat, 800mhz radio or phone if you have questions or concerns with this forecast, ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A cold front will continue to surge southward through southwest Kansas and south central Kansas, moving into northern Oklahoma early this evening. Strong north winds around 20 to 30 mph with gusts upward of 40 to 45 mph developing behind the front can be expected to persist through mid/late evening with winds then beginning to slightly subside somewhat overnight into early Tuesday morning. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). CWR.................10 percent. Min temperature.....Around 45. Max humidity........78 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to around 30 mph shifting to the north 16 to 27 mph with gusts to around 37 mph in the late evening and overnight, then decreasing to 15 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26 mph after 3 am. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 35 mph becoming southwest around 23 mph early in the evening, then shifting to the north 24 to 33 mph in the late evening and overnight. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM Sky (%).........17 18 22 29 28 28 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 10 0 0 0 0 Temp............89 75 63 56 53 48 RH..............19 38 59 68 71 78 20 ft wind......NW 18 NW 25 N 25 N 19 N 17 N 17 20 ft wind gust.25 34 36 29 26 26 Mix hgt (ft)....5200 700 600 1400 2200 2000 Transport wind..W 35 N 23 N 28 N 33 N 30 N 26 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 17 mph with gusts to around 25 mph shifting to the northeast 10 to 11 mph with gusts to around 18 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 15 to 24 mph. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........27 23 15 7 5 8 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............47 47 53 59 66 69 RH..............79 77 59 47 37 33 20 ft wind......N 17 N 15 N 14 N 13 N 12 NE 11 20 ft wind gust.25 24 22 20 18 18 Mix hgt (ft)....1400 2500 2900 3700 4500 5100 Transport wind..N 24 N 24 N 22 N 20 N 17 N 15 .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 44. Max humidity........93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph early in the evening. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 13 to 15 mph. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........11 9 14 13 5 4 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............69 66 59 55 52 48 RH..............34 38 55 68 79 88 20 ft wind......NE 10 E 9 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5 20 ft wind gust.17 14 11 10 10 10 Mix hgt (ft)....5300 4100 600 600 600 600 Transport wind..E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 14 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). CWR.................10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........44 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph increasing to around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 13 to 16 mph. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........35 43 63 63 67 75 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............46 47 55 59 63 67 RH..............95 93 66 56 48 45 20 ft wind......NE 5 E 6 E 7 E 8 E 8 E 8 20 ft wind gust.8 10 12 13 13 14 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1500 2900 4000 4600 4700 Transport wind..E 13 E 13 E 16 E 16 E 15 SE 15 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. East winds around 6 mph. .FRIDAY... Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .SATURDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ Forecaster...J JOHNSON Requested by...Aaron Williams Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2613977.0/DDC .DELDT 05/18/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL atwilliams@ksu.edu  579 FNUS76 KMFR 182339 FWSMFR Spot Forecast for Tennant FIre...USFS National Weather Service MEDFORD OR 439 PM PDT Mon May 18 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on May 19. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Dry and warm air will remain over the fire location through the week with some light northerly afternoon breezes. High pressure will continue to build into Wednesday and temperatures will trend warmer by a few degrees. Overall, fire weather risk remains low through the next few days due to the lighter winds. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....71-75. Min humidity........17-22 percent. Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming north around 2 mph. Wind (20 ft)........North winds up 2 to 3 mph early in the morning becoming 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7800-8300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............35 39 44 49 57 61 64 66 67 70 71 71 RH..............72 62 51 40 31 26 22 20 19 19 18 19 20 FT wind dir..N N N NE NE NE NE N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.2 2 2 3 4 6 6 8 10 10 11 13 Eye lvl wnd dir.N N N NE NE NE NE N N N N N Eye lvl wnd spd.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 Eye lvl wnd gst.1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 5 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 7.8 8.3 8.3 5.7 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE N N N NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 10 .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear with increasing clouds through the night. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Min temperature.....37-40. Max humidity........68-72 percent. Eye level winds.....North winds around 2 to 3 mph early in the evening becoming light. Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 4 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. CWR.................0 percent. TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MC MC MC PC PC PC MC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............72 70 67 58 54 50 48 46 44 41 40 40 RH..............20 20 27 35 43 49 54 58 63 65 67 69 20 FT wind dir..N N NW NW NW W W W W W W N 20 FT wind spd..6 6 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 20 FT wind gust.13 13 12 12 12 5 5 5 4 4 4 2 Eye lvl wnd dir.N N NW NW NW W W W W W W N Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eye lvl wnd gst.5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 Mix hgt (kft)...5.7 5.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy, then becoming sunny. Chance of lightning.0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77-80. Min humidity........20-23 percent. Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 2 mph late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 2 to 3 mph, then becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the north early in the morning. CWR.................0 percent. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC MC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............40 43 49 55 60 65 69 71 73 75 76 76 RH..............68 61 51 43 36 30 26 24 23 21 21 21 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 20 FT wind gust.2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 10 10 10 13 Eye lvl wnd dir.N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW Eye lvl wnd spd.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 Eye lvl wnd gst.1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 4 5 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.6 Transp wind dir.W W N N N N N N NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 9 10 $$ Forecaster...SMITH Requested by...Sarah Lee Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2613979.0/MFR .DELDT 05/18/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL sarah.lee2@usda.gov  281 FNUS75 KTFX 182351 FWSTFX Spot Forecast for Flanders MTN Skier...Gallatin County SAR National Weather Service Great Falls MT 551 PM MDT Mon May 18 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on May 18. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers with ceilings of around 7,000 to 9,000 feet will gradually decrease as the sun starts to set. Beyond 9 PM, mostly clear skies are expected to persist through the night. Winds will start off out of the north and shift towards the west/southwest after sunset. Overnight lows in the mid teens are expected with a minimum wind chill near zero. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Min temperature.....13-18. Max humidity........63-68 percent. Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the southwest late in the evening increasing to around 15 mph overnight. TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........54 32 13 14 16 14 7 7 5 6 5 7 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............25 26 25 22 20 19 18 19 18 17 17 17 RH..............53 54 61 66 68 68 68 68 66 63 62 60 Surface wnd dir.NW N N NW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW Surface wnd spd.15 10 10 5 5 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 Surface wnd gst.20 15 10 $$ Forecaster...Glinskas Requested by...Gallatin County SAR Comms Type of request...SAR .TAG 2613978.0/TFX .DELDT 05/18/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL gallatinsarcomms@gmail.com,tfx.ops@noaa.gov