153 

FNUS22 KWNS 160705

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0204 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026



Valid 171200Z - 181200Z



...Synopsis...

A closed mid-level low will remain positioned to the southwest of

Southern California on D2/Saturday as upper-level ridging begins to

shift eastward into the Plains. This will foster residual offshore

flow and lingering elevated fire weather conditions across portions

of Southern California Sunday morning. Meanwhile, a strong cold

front will continue to progress offshore of the East Coast as

surface high pressure shifts into the Ohio Valley, helping to

maintain dry and breezy post-frontal conditions and elevated fire

weather concerns across portions of the lower MS Valley.



...Southern California...

A closed mid-level low will remained positioned west of the northern

Baja Peninsula, which will help maintain residual easterly offshore

flow into D2/Saturday. Generally easterly surface winds of 10-20 mph

(locally greater) are forecast Saturday morning before magnitudes

begin to weaken Saturday afternoon. With RH values likely to remain

around 15-20% during the morning hours, this will continue to

support elevated fire weather conditions Sunday morning across the

Simi Valley and Sierra Madre/San Rafael ranges.



...Lower Mississippi River Valley...

A dry and breezy post-frontal pattern will continue across portions

of the lower Mississippi River Valley and Southeast on Saturday as

surface high pressure shifts into the Ohio River Valley to the

north. North-northeast winds of 10-15 mph and minimum daytime RH

values around 25% are expected atop dry, receptive fuels (ERCs

commonly above the 80-90th percentiles) across portions of the lower

Mississippi River Valley, fostering elevated fire weather conditions

from southern LA into southeastern AR and much of western/central

MS.



..Chalmers.. 10/16/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$