928 WTNT25 KNHC 120232 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 32.3W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 32.3W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 31.3W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.4N 35.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.2N 38.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.1N 42.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.4N 45.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.0N 48.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.7N 51.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.3N 56.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 21.9N 61.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 32.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN  390 WTNT25 KNHC 121447 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 36.3W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 36.3W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 35.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.8N 39.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 42.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.6N 45.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.1N 48.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.8N 51.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.5N 54.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.8N 60.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.4N 65.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 36.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  031 WTNT25 KNHC 122032 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 38.3W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 4 M SEAS.... 75NE 15SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 38.3W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 37.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.6N 40.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.4N 43.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.6N 46.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 49.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.9N 52.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N 56.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 22.2N 65.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 38.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  375 WTNT25 KNHC 130841 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC WED AUG 13 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 41.9W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS.... 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 41.9W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 41.0W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.4N 44.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 47.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N 52.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N 55.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 58.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.3N 63.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 110NW. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.4N 66.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 70SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 41.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  937 WTNT25 KNHC 131500 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC WED AUG 13 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 43.4W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 43.4W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 42.7W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.3N 45.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.6N 48.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.4N 51.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.2N 54.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 57.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 60.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.7N 64.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 110NW. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 23.9N 67.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 43.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  641 WTNT25 KNHC 132033 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC WED AUG 13 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 45.0W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 45.0W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 44.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.3N 47.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N 50.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 53.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.4N 55.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 58.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.2N 61.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 22.2N 65.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 110NW. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 24.8N 68.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  576 WTNT25 KNHC 140235 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC THU AUG 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 46.6W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 46.6W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 45.9W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.5N 48.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.2N 51.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 54.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.9N 57.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.8N 60.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.6N 62.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 22.8N 66.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.5N 68.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 46.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE  005 WTNT25 KNHC 140845 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC THU AUG 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 48.2W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS....120NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 48.2W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 47.5W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 50.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 53.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 56.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 59.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N 62.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 64.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.2N 67.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 26.0N 69.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 48.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY  601 WTNT25 KNHC 141433 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC THU AUG 14 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 49.7W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS....120NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 49.7W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 48.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.9N 51.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 55.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.6N 57.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N 60.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.3N 63.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.3N 65.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 26.5N 69.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 49.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  901 WTNT25 KNHC 150243 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC FRI AUG 15 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 52.7W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS....120NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 52.7W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 51.9W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 55.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.6N 58.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 35SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N 61.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.3N 63.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.3N 65.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.4N 67.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.0N 69.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 55SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N 70.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 140NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 52.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 15/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN  306 WTNT25 KNHC 150843 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC FRI AUG 15 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 54.4W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS....135NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 54.4W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 53.7W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.4N 56.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 59.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N 62.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 64.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.2N 66.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.2N 68.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 55SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 28.9N 71.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 140NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 54.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 15/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY  560 WTNT25 KNHC 151446 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC FRI AUG 15 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 56.1W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 20SW 90NW. 4 M SEAS....150NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 56.1W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 55.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.9N 58.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.8N 61.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.6N 63.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.6N 66.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.7N 67.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.8N 69.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 26.5N 70.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 30.3N 71.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 140NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 56.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 15/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  053 WTNT25 KNHC 152042 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC FRI AUG 15 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 57.6W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 20SW 90NW. 4 M SEAS....180NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 57.6W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 56.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.6N 59.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.4N 62.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.2N 65.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.3N 67.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.4N 68.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.8N 69.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 27.9N 70.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 32.2N 69.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 140NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 57.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 16/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  629 WTNT25 KNHC 160255 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC SAT AUG 16 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 59.5W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 15SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 50SE 30SW 100NW. 4 M SEAS....210NE 120SE 75SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 59.5W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 58.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.2N 61.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.9N 64.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.7N 66.3W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.9N 67.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.0N 68.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.6N 69.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 55SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 28.9N 70.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 33.5N 69.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 170NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 59.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 16/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN  555 WTNT25 KNHC 160833 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC SAT AUG 16 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 61.1W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 50SE 40SW 100NW. 4 M SEAS....210NE 135SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 61.1W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 60.4W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.3N 63.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.1N 65.6W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.1N 67.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.3N 68.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.6N 69.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 26.2N 70.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 29.9N 70.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 170SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 34.7N 68.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 210SW 200NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 61.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 16/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  983 WTNT25 KNHC 161431 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC SAT AUG 16 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 62.8W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 923 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 50SE 40SW 110NW. 4 M SEAS....240NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 62.8W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 62.1W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.1N 64.7W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N 66.8W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.3N 68.5W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 69.7W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.9N 70.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.4N 70.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 30.6N 70.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 170SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 35.7N 66.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 210SW 200NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 62.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 16/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  763 WTNT25 KNHC 162127 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22...RESENT NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 64.0W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 915 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......140NE 90SE 40SW 110NW. 4 M SEAS....240NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 64.0W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 63.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.4N 65.7W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.4N 67.6W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.7N 69.2W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.0N 70.2W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.5N 70.9W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.3N 71.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 31.7N 70.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 180SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 36.8N 65.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 210SW 200NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 64.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  105 WTNT25 KNHC 170831 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 66.4W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 110SE 70SW 150NW. 4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 180SW 165NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 66.4W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 65.9W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.3N 68.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.5N 69.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.8N 70.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.1N 71.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N 72.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.9N 72.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 170SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 33.5N 70.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 38.3N 63.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...150NE 180SE 170SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 66.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  527 WTNT25 KNHC 170839 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 66.4W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 110SE 70SW 150NW. 4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 180SW 165NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 66.4W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 65.9W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.3N 67.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.8N 70.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.2N 71.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.9N 72.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.9N 72.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 170SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 33.3N 70.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 38.6N 63.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...150NE 180SE 170SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 66.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  493 WTNT25 KNHC 171502 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 67.4W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 110SE 70SW 150NW. 4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 67.4W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 67.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.9N 68.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.1N 70.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.4N 71.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.9N 72.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.8N 72.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 30.0N 72.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 170SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 34.3N 70.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...150NE 180SE 170SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 67.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  842 WTNT25 KNHC 172042 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 68.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 140SE 90SW 150NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 135SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 68.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 68.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.8N 69.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.4N 71.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.1N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 29.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 31.2N 72.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 35.3N 69.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 40.3N 59.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 170SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 68.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  842 WTNT25 KNHC 172042 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 68.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 140SE 90SW 150NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 135SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 68.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 68.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.8N 69.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.4N 71.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.1N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 29.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 31.2N 72.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 35.3N 69.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 40.3N 59.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 170SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 68.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  939 WTNT25 KNHC 180252 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 69.3W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......200NE 170SE 100SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 69.3W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 68.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.2N 70.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.6N 71.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 55SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.1N 72.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N 72.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 65SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 115SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.9N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 85SE 65SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 135SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 190SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 36.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 290SE 230SW 230NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 41.4N 56.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 320SE 270SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 69.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN  508 WTNT25 KNHC 180835 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 70.2W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 70.2W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 69.9W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.6N 71.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 72.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.6N 72.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.6N 73.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.7N 73.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.9N 72.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 200SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 37.2N 66.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 230SW 230NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 41.6N 56.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 70.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  001 WTNT25 KNHC 181447 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 70.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 71.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 70.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  610 WTNT25 KNHC 181520 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 70.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 71.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 70.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  669 WTNT25 KNHC 181521 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 70.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 71.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 70.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  009 WTNT25 KNHC 181530 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 70.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 71.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 70.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  093 WTNT25 KNHC 181531 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 70.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 71.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 70.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  292 WTNT25 KNHC 181540 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 70.8W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 70.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N 71.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N 73.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 71.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 70.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  158 WTNT25 KNHC 182044 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 71.3W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 937 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....420NE 360SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 71.3W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 71.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.9N 71.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.5N 72.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.4N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.5N 73.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.7N 73.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...220NE 250SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 34.8N 71.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 220SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 38.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 290SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 41.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 71.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  517 WTNT25 KNHC 190233 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 71.7W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....420NE 360SE 180SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 71.7W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 71.4W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.4N 72.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.1N 73.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.2N 73.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.4N 73.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 35.4N 70.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 220SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 38.5N 62.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 290SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 41.1N 54.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 280SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 71.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  575 WTNT25 KNHC 190855 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 72.0W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW. 4 M SEAS....450NE 330SE 210SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 72.0W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 71.8W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.1N 72.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.1N 73.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.3N 74.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.6N 73.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 270SE 200SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 34.6N 71.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 130NW. 34 KT...260NE 300SE 220SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 36.5N 68.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 50 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...300NE 320SE 250SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 39.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...340NE 320SE 260SW 260NW. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 42.0N 53.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 90SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 260SE 240SW 230NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 72.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  357 WTNT25 KNHC 191453 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 72.4W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW. 4 M SEAS....420NE 330SE 180SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 72.4W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 72.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.0N 73.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.1N 73.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.4N 73.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 190SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.7N 72.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 270SE 210SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 35.6N 70.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT...260NE 300SE 230SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 37.3N 66.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...300NE 320SE 250SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 40.3N 58.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...340NE 320SE 250SW 260NW. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 42.8N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 100SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 270SE 270SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 72.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  143 WTNT25 KNHC 200316 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35...RESENT NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC WED AUG 20 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 73.0W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 200SE 150SW 160NW. 4 M SEAS....450NE 330SE 180SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 73.0W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 72.8W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.3N 73.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.6N 73.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.8N 72.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 200SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 35.9N 69.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N 66.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...160NE 150SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT...280NE 280SE 230SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 39.3N 62.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 250SW 260NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 42.5N 53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...280NE 320SE 270SW 260NW. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 44.8N 42.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...250NE 270SE 270SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 73.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  259 WTNT25 KNHC 200850 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC WED AUG 20 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 73.3W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......140NE 140SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......220NE 230SE 130SW 160NW. 4 M SEAS....450NE 330SE 210SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 73.3W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 73.2W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.6N 73.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.0N 72.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...230NE 240SE 190SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 35.4N 70.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 290SE 210SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 37.4N 67.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT...280NE 310SE 240SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.3N 63.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 110SE 110SW 80NW. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 330SE 260SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.0N 57.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 90SE 100SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...350NE 340SE 270SW 260NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 45.8N 43.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 200SE 180SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 340SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 51.1N 30.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 90SE 210SW 120NW. 34 KT...280NE 380SE 450SW 360NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 73.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  961 WTNT25 KNHC 201453 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 73.7W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......140NE 140SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......220NE 230SE 130SW 160NW. 4 M SEAS....420NE 420SE 300SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 73.7W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 73.7W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N 73.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.4N 72.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...230NE 240SE 200SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.6N 69.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 270SE 230SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.6N 65.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...170NE 180SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 280SE 240SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.4N 60.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 100SE 110SW 80NW. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 330SE 260SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.5N 54.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 90SE 100SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...350NE 340SE 270SW 260NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 47.4N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 200SE 180SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 340SW 260NW. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 52.5N 27.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 90SE 210SW 120NW. 34 KT...280NE 380SE 420SW 360NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 73.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  586 WTNT25 KNHC 202035 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 73.6W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT.......140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT.......220NE 230SE 180SW 180NW. 4 M SEAS....450NE 420SE 330SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 73.6W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 73.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.2N 72.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...230NE 230SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 35.5N 70.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 240SE 220SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 37.5N 67.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...160NE 150SE 140SW 130NW. 34 KT...280NE 240SE 240SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.2N 63.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...170NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.0N 57.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 80SE 110SW 80NW. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 300SE 260SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 43.1N 50.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...320NE 340SE 270SW 260NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 49.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 200SE 180SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 340SW 260NW. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 54.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...280NE 360SE 360SW 260NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 73.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  628 WTNT25 KNHC 210246 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 73.1W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW. 50 KT.......140NE 140SE 110SW 100NW. 34 KT.......220NE 230SE 180SW 180NW. 4 M SEAS....480NE 390SE 360SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 73.1W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 73.2W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.8N 71.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW. 50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 230SE 190SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.8N 69.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...240NE 250SE 220SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.7N 65.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...160NE 150SE 140SW 130NW. 34 KT...280NE 250SE 240SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.4N 60.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 160SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 250SE 240SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.2N 54.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW. 34 KT...290NE 300SE 260SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 44.5N 46.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 250SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 50.0N 31.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 220SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 54.3N 21.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 270SE 220SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 73.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  918 WTNT25 KNHC 210845 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 72.1W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 50 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT.......220NE 280SE 200SW 200NW. 4 M SEAS....480NE 420SE 360SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 72.1W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 72.6W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 35.8N 70.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 170SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...250NE 320SE 230SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 37.8N 66.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 90SE 90SW 80NW. 50 KT...160NE 170SE 140SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 330SE 250SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.6N 62.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 110SE 100SW 90NW. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...330NE 350SE 260SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.4N 56.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 90SE 90SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 190SE 160SW 130NW. 34 KT...330NE 350SE 270SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 43.6N 48.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 70SE 90SW 70NW. 50 KT... 60NE 180SE 170SW 110NW. 34 KT...300NE 350SE 320SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 46.7N 40.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 140SE 180SW 80NW. 34 KT...290NE 420SE 410SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 53.0N 26.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 160SE 140SW 80NW. 34 KT...220NE 380SE 450SW 350NW. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 56.8N 21.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 340SE 480SW 280NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N 72.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  921 WTNT25 KNHC 212031 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC THU AUG 21 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 69.1W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT.......140NE 160SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT.......200NE 280SE 200SW 200NW. 4 M SEAS....480NE 420SE 420SW 320NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 69.1W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 70.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 38.0N 66.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. 34 KT...260NE 280SE 210SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 40.0N 61.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 280SE 210SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.8N 55.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 280SE 210SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 44.7N 47.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 90SE 90SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 47.9N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 90SE 90SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 50.9N 31.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 140SE 180SW 80NW. 34 KT...290NE 420SE 410SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 55.8N 22.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 150SE 140SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 360SE 420SW 300NW. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 56.9N 20.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 340SE 360SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N 69.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  268 WTNT25 KNHC 220232 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 67.0W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT.......140NE 180SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT.......200NE 320SE 270SW 280NW. 4 M SEAS....450NE 480SE 540SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 67.0W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 68.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.8N 63.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT...260NE 320SE 270SW 280NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.7N 58.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 320SE 270SW 280NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 43.0N 51.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 320SE 270SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 46.1N 42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 90SE 90SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 49.3N 34.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 90SE 90SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 340SE 270SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 52.1N 28.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 140SE 180SW 80NW. 34 KT...290NE 420SE 410SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 56.6N 21.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 150SE 140SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 360SE 420SW 300NW. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 57.5N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 340SE 360SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N 67.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  565 WTNT25 KNHC 220841 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N 65.3W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 110SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT.......140NE 180SE 130SW 150NW. 34 KT.......280NE 320SE 270SW 280NW. 4 M SEAS....410NE 480SE 510SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N 65.3W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 66.5W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.9N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 200SE 150SW 160NW. 34 KT...320NE 330SE 280SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.8N 55.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 200SE 160SW 150NW. 34 KT...310NE 350SE 310SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 44.1N 47.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 50 KT... 80NE 200SE 170SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 350SE 340SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 47.4N 38.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 60SE 80SW 60NW. 50 KT... 0NE 180SE 200SW 110NW. 34 KT...270NE 380SE 380SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 50.8N 30.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 40NW. 50 KT... 0NE 210SE 200SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 430SE 400SW 280NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 53.9N 24.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 0NW. 50 KT... 0NE 180SE 170SW 60NW. 34 KT...300NE 380SE 500SW 340NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 58.0N 20.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...220NE 360SE 500SW 280NW. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 58.2N 20.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 210SE 440SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.6N 65.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  393 WTNT25 KNHC 222030 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 2100 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 59.7W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 29 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 110SE 110SW 100NW. 50 KT.......180NE 190SE 170SW 150NW. 34 KT.......380NE 330SE 270SW 280NW. 4 M SEAS....330NE 480SE 780SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 59.7W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 61.4W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.5N 54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 90NW. 50 KT...180NE 190SE 170SW 150NW. 34 KT...360NE 350SE 300SW 280NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 44.0N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 90NW. 50 KT...140NE 190SE 170SW 120NW. 34 KT...400NE 360SE 320SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 48.0N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 120SE 150SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 190SE 180SW 100NW. 34 KT...370NE 420SE 400SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 52.0N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 120SE 150SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 220SE 200SW 120NW. 34 KT...350NE 400SE 380SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 55.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 200SE 180SW 120NW. 34 KT...350NE 440SE 450SW 320NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 58.0N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...330NE 420SE 550SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 59.0N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 300SE 480SW 210NW. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 57.0N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 200SE 330SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 59.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE  632 WTNT25 KNHC 071434 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 1500 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 44.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 44.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 43.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.3N 47.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.5N 51.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.9N 54.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N 57.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.1N 60.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.8N 61.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 63.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 29.4N 62.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 44.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  116 WTNT25 KNHC 072032 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 2100 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 46.4W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. 4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 46.4W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 45.4W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 12.8N 49.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.2N 53.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.5N 56.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.2N 59.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.9N 61.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.1N 62.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.8N 63.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.2N 61.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 80SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 46.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  324 WTNT25 KNHC 081451 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 1500 UTC WED OCT 08 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 52.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 0SW 70NW. 4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 52.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 51.6W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.7N 55.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.1N 58.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.9N 60.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N 61.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N 62.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.1N 62.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N 61.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 150SE 80SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 32.7N 56.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 52.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  490 WTNT25 KNHC 082031 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 54.7W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 70NW. 4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 54.7W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 53.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.9N 57.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N 59.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.4N 61.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.7N 62.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.1N 62.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.4N 62.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.6N 61.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 70SW 80NW. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.1N 56.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 60NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 54.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  592 WTNT25 KNHC 090843 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 0900 UTC THU OCT 09 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 57.7W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 70NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 57.7W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 57.1W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 59.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N 61.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.2N 62.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.8N 63.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.2N 62.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 62.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.7N 60.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 80NW. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N 54.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 57.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART  070 WTNT25 KNHC 091439 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 1500 UTC THU OCT 09 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 59.1W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 70NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 180SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 59.1W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 58.5W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.1N 60.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N 62.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.7N 63.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.2N 63.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 62.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.5N 62.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.3N 59.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 70SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 31.4N 54.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 59.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  740 WTNT25 KNHC 092034 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 60.6W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 70NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 60.6W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 60.1W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.6N 62.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.0N 63.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.7N 63.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 63.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 130SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 62.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N 61.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 32.3N 57.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 32.2N 51.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 60.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  298 WTNT25 KNHC 100251 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 0300 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 61.6W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 61.6W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 61.1W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.7N 62.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N 63.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.5N 63.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.1N 62.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.5N 62.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 55NE 55SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.3N 60.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 55NE 55SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 31.8N 57.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 95NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 32.5N 51.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 55SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 130SE 110SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 61.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN  284 WTNT25 KNHC 100851 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 0900 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 62.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 160SE 0SW 50NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 62.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 62.2W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.9N 63.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.3N 63.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.9N 63.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 62.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N 61.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.6N 60.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.6N 56.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 31.5N 51.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 90SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 62.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART  430 WTNT25 KNHC 101441 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 1500 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 63.4W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 160SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 63.4W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 63.3W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N 63.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 63.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.9N 63.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.2N 62.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N 61.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.4N 59.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.4N 54.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 30.8N 47.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 63.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  557 WTNT25 KNHC 102034 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 63.6W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 63.6W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 63.5W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.4N 63.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.9N 63.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.3N 62.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.3N 62.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.4N 60.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.4N 58.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 30.1N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 63.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  735 WTNT25 KNHC 110239 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 0300 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 63.9W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 63.9W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 63.7W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N 63.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N 62.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N 62.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.3N 60.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.0N 58.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.4N 56.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 29.8N 51.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 63.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN  270 WTNT25 KNHC 110856 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 0900 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 63.4W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 63.4W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 63.7W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.4N 63.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.0N 62.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.1N 61.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 33.0N 60.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.2N 58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 63.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART  927 WTNT25 KNHC 111455 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 1500 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 63.2W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....180NE 240SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 63.2W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 63.3W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.0N 62.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.3N 62.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 32.0N 60.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.6N 59.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.0N 56.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 63.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG  850 WTNT25 KNHC 112032 TCMAT5 REMNANTS OF JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025 2100 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 63.6W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 210SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS....180NE 180SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 63.6W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 63.7W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 63.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG