@                      FNUS73 KABR 201032
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Cox WPA...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
532 AM CDT Wed May 20 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 20. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure has resulted in a cold morning with light winds
less than 10 mph. This area of high pressure will exit across
southern Minnesota this morning, with increasing winds out of the
south late this morning into this afternoon. Relative humidity
will fall to near 38 percent (about 12 percent lower than
Tuesday). Winds of 8 to 10 mph tonight will increase to 10 to 16
mph with gusts of 20 to 35 mph from late Thursday morning through
the rest of the day. The next chance of rain showers (70% chance)
will be Friday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.
The current forecast calls for between 0.10 to 0.40 inches of rain
Friday across the Cox WPA area.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 63. 
Min humidity........38 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 13 mph. 
Mixing height.......400-6600 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to fair (42000 knot-ft) in the 
                    afternoon increasing to good (76300 knot-ft). 

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........7   14  7   2   6   4   16  19  23  21  49  54  
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....                                       
Tstm cov........                                                
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............38  39  42  45  53  55  57  60  61  62  63  62  
RH..............76  76  76  76  54  51  45  41  41  39  38  39  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT wind spd..7   8   7   6   7   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  
20 FT wind gust.        9   8   12  15  17  18  18  20  20  20  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.6 3.7 4.7 5.5 6.2 6.6 6.4 6.4 
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 40. 
Max humidity........86 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 13 mph. 
Mixing height.......400-6000 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....South 13 to 16 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good (60500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (4300 
                    knot-ft) early in the evening. 

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........75  75  68  62  60  72  54  67  67  53  53  58  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............62  61  59  55  52  50  49  48  46  44  43  43  
RH..............39  41  45  51  56  61  63  65  71  76  79  79  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..13  12  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   
20 FT wind gust.18  18  16  15  14  13  13  13  14  14  15  16  
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 4.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 
Smoke Dispersal.GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Chance of lightning.0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 67. 
Min humidity........40 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 16 mph. 
Mixing height.......400-6700 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to fair (44200 knot-ft) late
                    morning, and increasing to very good 
                    (113100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. 

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........51  60  61  35  39  36  24  27  28  38  42  28  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............41  44  46  50  56  59  61  64  65  65  66  65  
RH..............86  79  76  68  57  49  46  41  41  41  40  41  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  12  14  15  15  16  16  16  15  16  
20 FT wind gust.16  17  18  20  22  23  23  24  24  24  23  23  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.8 5.0 5.9 5.9 6.5 6.7 4.5 
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD GD  

$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Jade Drause
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614018.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/20/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jade_drause@fws.gov
